# How could the ongoing El Nino become the strongest in 76 years? NOAA explains

> NOAA says the current El Niño is strengthening and is likely to stay strong to very strong through early 2027. It puts the chance of a historic event, exceeding all El Niños since 1950, at about 60% for the October-December and November-January periods.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-14T12:12:07.225Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/99359-how-could-the-ongoing-el-nino-become-the-strongest-in-76-years-noaa-explains
- Commodities: [Fishmeal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FISHMEAL.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A strong El Niño typically brings drought to Southeast Asia, Australia and parts of South America, which can cut palm oil and grain output and reduce Peruvian anchovy catches, supporting fishmeal and palm oil prices.

## Read by commodity

- PALMOIL: bullish ▲
- FISHMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2026-04-24 | [Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19629-explainer-how-el-nino-could-impact-the-world-s-weather-in-2026-27-reuters.md) | -0.0% | -1.4% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-04-16 | [How El Nino-driven weaker monsoon rains could impact India - The Economic Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19704-how-el-nino-driven-weaker-monsoon-rains-could-impact-india-the-economic-times.md) | +0.8% | -0.8% |
| PALMOIL | 2017-03-14 | [Weak El Nino to have small impact on Asian crops this year \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71913-weak-el-nino-to-have-small-impact-on-asian-crops-this-year-the-star.md) | +1.5% | -5.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2023-12-06 | [How long will the El Nino last? Latest official forecasts - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32486-how-long-will-the-el-nino-last-latest-official-forecasts-grain-price-news.md) | -1.3% | -3.3% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-06-17 | [Explainer: Why a strong El Niño leaves tropical commodities acutely exposed \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18727-explainer-why-a-strong-el-nino-leaves-tropical-commodities-acutely-exposed.md) | -0.3% | -0.2% |

## Sources

- financialexpress.com: https://www.financialexpress.com/india-news/how-could-ongoing-el-nino-become-strongest-in-76-years-us-national-oceanic-atmospheric-administration-noaa-explains/4384319/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.