# Russian Wheat Export Forecast Cut to 39 Million Tonnes

> USDA cut its 2026/27 Russian wheat and products export forecast by 1 million tonnes to 39 million, the lowest in at least five seasons. Sovecon also lowered its wheat export estimate to 36 million tonnes, from 36.7 million.

- Date: 2026-11-12 · published 2026-11-14T07:37:35.071Z
- Category: report · region Russia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/99214-russian-wheat-export-forecast-cut-to-39-million-tonnes
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Russian export estimates from both USDA and Sovecon tighten global wheat availability, supporting world wheat prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-30 | [Russian 2026/27 Wheat Export Forecast Cut by 4.7 MMT - The Sizov Report blog](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14084-russian-2026-27-wheat-export-forecast-cut-by-4-7-mmt-the-sizov-report-blog.md) | -2.5% | +1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2017-04-24 | [Australian 2017 wheat crop forecast to reach 24 million tonnes: USDA report - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71469-australian-2017-wheat-crop-forecast-to-reach-24-million-tonnes-usda-report.md) | +2.4% | +1.0% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-13 | [European soft wheat production forecast at 134.5 million tonnes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29700-european-soft-wheat-production-forecast-at-134-5-million-tonnes.md) | -2.1% | -3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2019-12-11 | [Australian wheat export forecast cut, imports tripled: WASDE - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55534-australian-wheat-export-forecast-cut-imports-tripled-wasde-grain-central.md) | +2.6% | +4.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-21 | [The forecast for the soft wheat harvest in France has been reduced to 30.8 million tons.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18285-the-forecast-for-the-soft-wheat-harvest-in-france-has-been-reduced-to-30-8.md) | -1.8% | +2.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2019-12-11 | [Australian wheat export forecast cut, imports tripled: WASDE - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55534-australian-wheat-export-forecast-cut-imports-tripled-wasde-grain-central.md) | +12.3% | +17.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2022-10-24 | [Canada lifts grain price forecasts, as it upgrades wheat export hopes - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39181-canada-lifts-grain-price-forecasts-as-it-upgrades-wheat-export-hopes-grain.md) | -2.5% | -1.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-02-02 | [AMIS Releases Troubling Global Wheat Forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37373-amis-releases-troubling-global-wheat-forecast.md) | +1.3% | -5.9% |

## Sources

- tks.ru: https://www.tks.ru/news/nearby/2026/11/12/0011/prognoz-eksporta-rossijskoj-pshenitsyi-snizili-do-39-mln-tonn/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.