# EUR/USD: ECB hawks lag Fed – ING

> ING's Chris Turner said ECB rhetoric points to a December rate hike, but markets see US tightening as more credible. Short-dated EUR/USD swap differentials have widened to the year's widest levels, weighing on the pair.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-14T06:09:24.638Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/99038-eur-usd-ecb-hawks-lag-fed-ing
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

Widening rate differentials favor a stronger dollar, which can pressure dollar-priced agricultural commodities and shift export competitiveness between US and EU suppliers.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bullish ▲
- EURUSD: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2022-03-16 | [EUR/USD: Not as cheap as it looks \| articles \| ING THINK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42470-eur-usd-not-as-cheap-as-it-looks-articles-ing-think.md) | +0.4% | -1.1% |
| EURUSD | 2021-06-17 | [Pound-to-Euro Rate Lifts to 1.17 after EUR/USD Sinks on Fed's 'Hawkish' Message](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6134-pound-to-euro-rate-lifts-to-1-17-after-eur-usd-sinks-on-fed-s-hawkish-message.md) | -1.4% | -2.6% |
| EURUSD | 2024-04-12 | [Euro (EUR USD) Falls to Five-Month Low as ECB-Fed Divergence Looms Large - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9969-euro-eur-usd-falls-to-five-month-low-as-ecb-fed-divergence-looms-large-bloomberg.md) | -0.6% | +0.5% |
| EURUSD | 2024-06-14 | [EUR/USD plummets to 1.0670 as Fed's hawkish policy keeps US Dollar firm](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29980-eur-usd-plummets-to-1-0670-as-fed-s-hawkish-policy-keeps-us-dollar-firm.md) | -0.6% | +1.5% |
| EURUSD | 2025-03-20 | [EUR/USD weakens as Fed sees no rush for interest rate cuts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25794-eur-usd-weakens-as-fed-sees-no-rush-for-interest-rate-cuts.md) | -0.9% | +4.6% |
| DXY | 2022-03-16 | [EUR/USD: Not as cheap as it looks \| articles \| ING THINK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42470-eur-usd-not-as-cheap-as-it-looks-articles-ing-think.md) | -1.0% | -0.7% |
| DXY | 2024-04-12 | [Euro (EUR USD) Falls to Five-Month Low as ECB-Fed Divergence Looms Large - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9969-euro-eur-usd-falls-to-five-month-low-as-ecb-fed-divergence-looms-large-bloomberg.md) | +1.1% | +0.5% |
| DXY | 2026-08-31 | [US Dollar: Hawkish Fed pricing supports Dollar into payrolls – BBH](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18079-us-dollar-hawkish-fed-pricing-supports-dollar-into-payrolls-bbh.md) | -0.6% | +1.6% |

## Sources

- fxstreet.com: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/eur-usd-ecb-hawks-lag-fed-ing-202611130852

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.