# FAST FACTS: What is a Super El Niño, and what should we expect from it?

> The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) declared on November 5 that a very strong El Niño was active in the tropical Pacific, predicted to peak at the end of 2026 and persist into the first half of 2027. The event is expected to bring prolonged dry spells, drought and water shortages until April 2027.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-14T03:12:06.457Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/98928-fast-facts-what-is-a-super-el-nino-and-what-should-we-expect-from-it
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

A strong El Niño raises drought risk for Southeast Asian and other key crop regions, which can tighten rice and other feed-relevant supplies and support prices. The article is a general explainer, so the price impact is indirect and not yet quantified.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2023-01-10 | [What is El Niño, and how does it affect the weather and temperatures?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37701-what-is-el-nino-and-how-does-it-affect-the-weather-and-temperatures.md) | +1.7% | -0.9% |
| RICE | 2023-05-15 | [Rice markets in South and Southeast Asia face stresses from El Niño, export restrictions \| IFPRI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35867-rice-markets-in-south-and-southeast-asia-face-stresses-from-el-nino-export.md) | -6.6% | +7.6% |
| RICE | 2026-04-09 | [Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19631-rising-odds-of-strong-el-nino-point-to-global-weather-and-crop-impacts-bloomberg.md) | -1.4% | +6.9% |
| RICE | 2026-05-29 | [Sugar cane, rice, coffee and cocoa to feel effects of El Niño \| Baking Business](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19190-sugar-cane-rice-coffee-and-cocoa-to-feel-effects-of-el-nino-baking-business.md) | -4.1% | +1.3% |
| RICE | 2023-05-16 | [Explainer: Why El Nino is a concern for Indian monsoon rains?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35897-explainer-why-el-nino-is-a-concern-for-indian-monsoon-rains.md) | -5.7% | +3.4% |

## Sources

- rappler.com: https://www.rappler.com/philippines/things-to-know-super-el-nino-what-should-expect/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.