# Brazil cuts wheat crop forecast, raises import estimate as El Niño hits quality

> Brazil has lowered its wheat crop forecast and raised its import estimate because El Niño is affecting grain quality. The report gives no further figures in the available text.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-14T00:13:26.049Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/98620-brazil-cuts-wheat-crop-forecast-raises-import-estimate-as-el-nino-hits-quality
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Brazilian crop and higher imports add demand for wheat from exporters such as Argentina, the US and the Black Sea, supporting wheat prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-08-22 | [EU Crop Monitor Trims Yield Estimates, Warns Of Wheat Quality Damage \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34517-eu-crop-monitor-trims-yield-estimates-warns-of-wheat-quality-damage-esm-magazine.md) | -4.2% | -1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2023-02-23 | [El Niño expected to bring “normal” wheat crop in Australia - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37301-el-nino-expected-to-bring-normal-wheat-crop-in-australia-fastmarkets.md) | -3.0% | -8.7% |
| WHEAT | 2019-11-18 | [WA wheat crop forecast dives \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56007-wa-wheat-crop-forecast-dives-farm-online-act.md) | +3.8% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-24 | [Forecast for strong El Niño fans worries about global crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19633-forecast-for-strong-el-nino-fans-worries-about-global-crops.md) | +0.2% | +1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2016-09-16 | [Australia's wheat crop threatened as La Nina climate indicator rises: analysts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10187-australia-s-wheat-crop-threatened-as-la-nina-climate-indicator-rises-analysts.md) | +0.2% | -0.3% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-08-25 | [Latest Canadian Durum Wheat, Soy, and Canola production estimates raise supply and quality concerns](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34562-latest-canadian-durum-wheat-soy-and-canola-production-estimates-raise-supply.md) | -3.5% | -5.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2019-11-18 | [WA wheat crop forecast dives \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56007-wa-wheat-crop-forecast-dives-farm-online-act.md) | +1.7% | +10.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2016-09-16 | [Australia's wheat crop threatened as La Nina climate indicator rises: analysts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10187-australia-s-wheat-crop-threatened-as-la-nina-climate-indicator-rises-analysts.md) | +1.1% | +0.4% |

## Sources

- tradingview.com: https://www.tradingview.com/news/reuters.com,2026:newsml_S0N46G005:0-brazil-cuts-wheat-crop-forecast-raises-import-estimate-as-el-ni-o-hits-quality/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.