# What is El Niño and why is the world so worried? Impact on crops and markets

> NOAA said on Thursday a strong-to-very strong El Niño is likely through January–March 2027, with better than 79% odds. Ivory Coast warned of a 21–25% hit to its 2026–27 cocoa harvest, and US rough rice futures are about 50% higher since El Niño was declared on 11 June.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-13T18:13:52.950Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/98163-what-is-el-nino-and-why-is-the-world-so-worried-impact-on-crops-and-markets
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Expected weather damage to West African cocoa and Asian and South American crops supports prices of cocoa, sugar and rice. Traders are pricing supply risk, though a faster-than-expected recovery in key growing regions could reverse these gains.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2017-03-14 | [Weak El Nino to have small impact on Asian crops this year \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71913-weak-el-nino-to-have-small-impact-on-asian-crops-this-year-the-star.md) | +2.4% | +6.7% |
| RICE | 2023-01-10 | [What is El Niño, and how does it affect the weather and temperatures?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37701-what-is-el-nino-and-how-does-it-affect-the-weather-and-temperatures.md) | +1.7% | -0.9% |
| RICE | 2026-04-09 | [Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19631-rising-odds-of-strong-el-nino-point-to-global-weather-and-crop-impacts-bloomberg.md) | -1.4% | +6.9% |
| RICE | 2026-06-16 | [Crop Monitor Special Report: El Niño 2026-2027: Anticipated Climate and Agricultural Yield Impacts, June 16, 2026 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18724-crop-monitor-special-report-el-nino-2026-2027-anticipated-climate-and.md) | +9.2% | +18.0% |
| RICE | 2026-04-24 | [Forecast for strong El Niño fans worries about global crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19633-forecast-for-strong-el-nino-fans-worries-about-global-crops.md) | -2.0% | +18.1% |

## Sources

- invezz.com: https://invezz.com/pk/news/2026/11/13/what-is-el-nino-and-why-is-the-world-so-worried-impact-on-crops-and-markets/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.