# Brazil reviews grain harvest forecast in 1 million tons

> Conab cut its 2026/27 Brazilian grain production forecast by 1 million tonnes to 366.1 million tonnes, though this is still 1.3% above the previous season. The agency cites irregular rainfall, high temperatures and El Niño effects, with the South too wet and parts of the North and Northeast too dry.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-13T18:12:11.298Z
- Category: report · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/98148-brazil-reviews-grain-harvest-forecast-in-1-million-tons
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

The reduction is small and still shows growth year on year, so it has little effect on global grain prices. Regional weather splits are the factor to watch for any further downgrades.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-07-11 | [Brazil raises forecast for record grain harvest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13484-brazil-raises-forecast-for-record-grain-harvest.md) | +0.9% | -4.0% |
| SOY | 2026-05-15 | [Brazil raises forecast for record harvest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13434-brazil-raises-forecast-for-record-harvest.md) | +1.7% | -5.2% |
| SOY | 2019-08-12 | [Brazil harvests 241 million tonnes of grains - Food & Agribusiness](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57422-brazil-harvests-241-million-tonnes-of-grains-food-and-agribusiness.md) | -0.7% | -3.3% |
| SOY | 2020-02-05 | [DATAGRO revises 2019/20 soybean harvest in Brazil to 122,90 million tons - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54463-datagro-revises-2019-20-soybean-harvest-in-brazil-to-122-90-million-tons.md) | +0.6% | +2.2% |
| SOY | 2023-06-30 | [Grain harvest 22/23 should reach 46,6 million tons in Paraná - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13644-grain-harvest-22-23-should-reach-46-6-million-tons-in-parana-revista-cultivar.md) | +0.2% | +0.3% |
| CORN | 2025-07-11 | [Brazil raises forecast for record grain harvest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13484-brazil-raises-forecast-for-record-grain-harvest.md) | -0.7% | -1.5% |
| CORN | 2026-05-15 | [Brazil raises forecast for record harvest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13434-brazil-raises-forecast-for-record-harvest.md) | +1.2% | -7.4% |
| CORN | 2019-08-12 | [Brazil harvests 241 million tonnes of grains - Food & Agribusiness](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57422-brazil-harvests-241-million-tonnes-of-grains-food-and-agribusiness.md) | -6.0% | -8.6% |

## Sources

- nacloset.com: https://nacloset.com/en/blog/brasil-revisa-previsao-de-colheita-de-graos-em-1-milhao-de-toneladas/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.