# Sweden's 2026 Grain Harvest Down 11% From Record, Still Above Five-Year Average

> Statistics Sweden estimates the 2026 total grain harvest at 5.8 million tonnes, 11% below last year's record but 8% above the five-year average. Winter kill from a harsh winter cut winter wheat output by about 0.6 million tonnes, while spring crops did well and the preliminary oat yield of 5.0 tonnes per hectare is the highest on record.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-13T15:14:18.483Z
- Category: weather · region Sweden · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/98043-sweden-s-2026-grain-harvest-down-11-from-record-still-above-five-year-average
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md)

## Why it matters

Sweden is a small grain exporter, so the impact on world prices is limited. The lower winter wheat crop is mildly supportive for wheat, while record oat yields add supply that weighs on oat prices.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-10-21 | [Unease ahead of 2023 grain harvest as record U.S. dryness spreads](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13320-unease-ahead-of-2023-grain-harvest-as-record-u-s-dryness-spreads.md) | -0.4% | +1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2023-11-17 | [WA harvest estimate now 44pc below last year's record: GIWA - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33126-wa-harvest-estimate-now-44pc-below-last-year-s-record-giwa-grain-central.md) | +3.7% | +1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2017-05-23 | [Drought and cold decimate EU grain harvest - Wheat harvest above average \| Boerenbusiness. Nl](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70951-drought-and-cold-decimate-eu-grain-harvest-wheat-harvest-above-average.md) | +0.0% | -0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-23 | [Record heat puts French grain harvest at risk \| Science-Environment](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18752-record-heat-puts-french-grain-harvest-at-risk-science-environment.md) | -1.3% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-05 | [French soft wheat yield seen 11% below 10-year average - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29189-french-soft-wheat-yield-seen-11-below-10-year-average-markets-business-recorder.md) | +9.4% | +1.3% |
| OATS | 2025-10-20 | [Australia eyes Chinese oat market with record harvest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22446-australia-eyes-chinese-oat-market-with-record-harvest.md) | +4.7% | +3.8% |
| OATS | 2021-04-30 | [Favourable start for forage oats crops - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47663-favourable-start-for-forage-oats-crops-grain-central.md) | +3.3% | -5.9% |
| OATS | 2025-10-17 | [Strong WA oat crop drives gains in Asian consumer market - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22441-strong-wa-oat-crop-drives-gains-in-asian-consumer-market-grain-central.md) | +5.5% | +6.9% |

## Sources

- indexbox.io: https://www.indexbox.io/blog/swedish-grain-harvest-falls-11-percent-from-record-but-remains-above-five-year-average/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.