# Will Brazil's 2027 Coffee Crop Be Smaller?

> Brazil's 2027 arabica crop flowered unevenly after irregular spring rain, according to speakers at the International Coffee Week in Belo Horizonte. Cooxupé put its early loss at 10% of potential in its own growing area, and said it was too early for national estimates. Analysts expect a smaller 2027 crop because it falls in the low year of arabica's two-year bearing cycle.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-13T15:13:36.146Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/98035-will-brazil-s-2027-coffee-crop-be-smaller
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Brazilian arabica crop and likely quality damage would tighten global high-quality coffee supply and support prices. The 10% loss applies only to Cooxupé's area, so the national impact remains uncertain.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2017-06-21 | [Brazil’s second-crop corn harvest will be big](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70329-brazil-s-second-crop-corn-harvest-will-be-big.md) | -2.4% | +2.1% |
| CORN | 2024-07-03 | [Brazil’s Second Corn Crop Slightly Smaller Amid Drought](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13560-brazil-s-second-corn-crop-slightly-smaller-amid-drought.md) | +0.7% | -0.8% |
| CORN | 2025-11-07 | [2025/26 Brazil's First Corn Crop 60% Planted](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13463-2025-26-brazil-s-first-corn-crop-60-planted.md) | +2.7% | +3.4% |
| CORN | 2023-12-22 | [COCERAL sees smaller EU grain crop in 2024 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32652-coceral-sees-smaller-eu-grain-crop-in-2024-world-grain.md) | +2.4% | -1.8% |
| CORN | 2021-08-03 | [Brazil's second corn harvest 19 million tons smaller](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45431-brazil-s-second-corn-harvest-19-million-tons-smaller.md) | -1.8% | -3.2% |
| SOY | 2024-07-03 | [Brazil’s Second Corn Crop Slightly Smaller Amid Drought](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13560-brazil-s-second-corn-crop-slightly-smaller-amid-drought.md) | -2.0% | -11.7% |
| SOY | 2025-11-07 | [2025/26 Brazil's First Corn Crop 60% Planted](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13463-2025-26-brazil-s-first-corn-crop-60-planted.md) | +3.7% | +1.2% |
| SOY | 2019-04-23 | [Weather Favors Brazil Second-Crop Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59421-weather-favors-brazil-second-crop-corn.md) | -3.4% | -5.2% |

## Sources

- inheritancecoffee.com: https://inheritancecoffee.com/blogs/news/brazil-2027-coffee-crop-flowering-el-nino

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.