# New CONAB estimate for 2026/27 grain crop is 366.1 million tons

> CONAB's second 2026/27 survey puts the grain harvest at 366.1 million tons on 85.3 million hectares, with yield projected 1% lower. Soybeans are forecast at 181.6 million tons from 49.3 million hectares, and corn production is increasing, especially first-crop corn. Sorghum, cotton and soybean areas are also expanding.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-13T15:12:13.965Z
- Category: report · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/98020-new-conab-estimate-for-2026-27-grain-crop-is-366-1-million-tons
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A larger Brazilian crop from expanded area adds to global export supply, which is bearish for soybeans and corn. The small yield decline partly offsets the area gain.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-06-12 | [IBGE: in May, harvest estimate for 2025 is 332.6 million tonnes \| News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13492-ibge-in-may-harvest-estimate-for-2025-is-332-6-million-tonnes-news-agency.md) | +2.3% | -4.4% |
| SOY | 2025-08-14 | [July estimate indicates a record crop of 340.5 million tonnes in 2025, an increase of 16.3%  \| News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13481-july-estimate-indicates-a-record-crop-of-340-5-million-tonnes-in-2025-an.md) | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| SOY | 2025-07-10 | [June estimate points to record harvest of 333.3 million tonnes in 2025, rise of 13.9% \| News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13487-june-estimate-points-to-record-harvest-of-333-3-million-tonnes-in-2025-rise-of.md) | +0.1% | -5.0% |
| SOY | 2024-08-12 | [U.S. grains: Soybeans fall to four-year low on record U.S. crop estimate - Manitoba Co-operator](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10466-u-s-grains-soybeans-fall-to-four-year-low-on-record-u-s-crop-estimate-manitoba.md) | -8.7% | -2.7% |
| SOY | 2019-12-03 | [Grain crop review for November 2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55433-grain-crop-review-for-november-2019.md) | +3.1% | +8.3% |
| CORN | 2025-06-12 | [IBGE: in May, harvest estimate for 2025 is 332.6 million tonnes \| News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13492-ibge-in-may-harvest-estimate-for-2025-is-332-6-million-tonnes-news-agency.md) | +0.0% | -4.5% |
| CORN | 2019-10-10 | [September estimates indicate record grain crop for 2019 \| News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56405-september-estimates-indicate-record-grain-crop-for-2019-news-agency.md) | +0.1% | -1.3% |
| CORN | 2025-08-14 | [July estimate indicates a record crop of 340.5 million tonnes in 2025, an increase of 16.3%  \| News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13481-july-estimate-indicates-a-record-crop-of-340-5-million-tonnes-in-2025-an.md) | +1.1% | +4.8% |

## Sources

- gov.br: https://www.gov.br/conab/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/nova-estimativa-da-conab-para-safra-de-graos-2026-27-e-de-366-1-milhoes-de-toneladas

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.