# CEPEA: Harvest rains and a rising dollar push up wheat and flour prices in Brazil

> Rains during the harvest have restricted supply of good-quality wheat, pushing up cash prices in Brazil's available market. In October, the average wheat price in Paraná rose 3.9% month on month and in Rio Grande do Sul rose 5.9%, with both regions well above a year earlier in real terms. Millers are importing wheat despite an unfavourable exchange rate and passing higher costs on to flour prices.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-13T12:17:21.470Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/97759-cepea-harvest-rains-and-a-rising-dollar-push-up-wheat-and-flour-prices-in-brazil
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Tight domestic supply of milling-quality wheat is pushing millers toward imports, which lifts import demand and raises Brazilian wheat prices. Lower-quality lots are being diverted to animal feed, which keeps feed-wheat supply firm.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-05-29 | [Wheat prices are rising because of the hot and dry weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65065-wheat-prices-are-rising-because-of-the-hot-and-dry-weather.md) | -0.9% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-21 | [Wheat prices near multi-year highs as war, weather, and harvest shortfalls converge By Investing.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9695-wheat-prices-near-multi-year-highs-as-war-weather-and-harvest-shortfalls.md) | +3.2% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-31 | [Dry weather favors corn and cotton harvest in Brazil - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13423-dry-weather-favors-corn-and-cotton-harvest-in-brazil-cultivar-magazine.md) | +2.2% | +6.1% |
| WHEAT | 2021-07-22 | [Barley prices in Ukraine accelerated growth amid a sharp rise in the price of wheat and corn -](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12497-barley-prices-in-ukraine-accelerated-growth-amid-a-sharp-rise-in-the-price-of.md) | -1.2% | +0.8% |
| WHEAT | 2021-09-08 | [FEATURE: Rising wheat prices make pasta and bread expensive \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45097-feature-rising-wheat-prices-make-pasta-and-bread-expensive-s-and-p-global.md) | +2.2% | +5.0% |

## Sources

- agro.mt: https://agro.mt/2026/11/13/cepea-chuvas-na-colheita-e-alta-do-dolar-impulsionam-precos-do-trigo-e-das-farinhas-no-brasil-mais-soja/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.