# USDA cuts forecast for Ukrainian wheat and corn exports by 3 million tonnes

> The USDA has lowered its 2026/27 forecast for Ukrainian wheat and corn exports by 3 million tonnes. Russian attacks on ports and transport routes are disrupting flows, and the Black Sea ports' share of Ukrainian exports reportedly fell from about 90% in June to roughly 10% by September.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-13T09:13:00.598Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/97554-usda-cuts-forecast-for-ukrainian-wheat-and-corn-exports-by-3-million-tonnes
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Lower exports leave more grain in Ukraine, raising end-season stocks (corn to 7.53 Mt, wheat to 7.3 Mt) and pressuring farmers' sales. Reduced Black Sea supply supports world wheat and corn prices as buyers look to other origins.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-04-18 | [Why Ukraine continues to walk an exports tightrope](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14312-why-ukraine-continues-to-walk-an-exports-tightrope.md) | +0.5% | +2.4% |
| WHEAT | 2022-09-30 | [Rabo ups wheat price forecasts amid Ukraine export fears, lifts robusta hopes too - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39632-rabo-ups-wheat-price-forecasts-amid-ukraine-export-fears-lifts-robusta-hopes.md) | +0.4% | -10.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-15 | [Focus: Russian attacks could cut Ukraine grain exports by a third \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14105-focus-russian-attacks-could-cut-ukraine-grain-exports-by-a-third-reuters.md) | +3.6% | +2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2020-07-09 | [Ukrainian farmers and grain exports hit hard by Russian blockade of Black Sea ports \| Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51987-ukrainian-farmers-and-grain-exports-hit-hard-by-russian-blockade-of-black-sea.md) | +0.7% | -0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2026-01-01 | [Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports cause drop in food exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14155-russian-attacks-on-ukrainian-ports-cause-drop-in-food-exports.md) | +0.7% | +3.4% |
| CORN | 2024-04-18 | [Why Ukraine continues to walk an exports tightrope](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14312-why-ukraine-continues-to-walk-an-exports-tightrope.md) | -0.4% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2026-06-15 | [Focus: Russian attacks could cut Ukraine grain exports by a third \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14105-focus-russian-attacks-could-cut-ukraine-grain-exports-by-a-third-reuters.md) | -0.8% | -0.1% |
| CORN | 2022-05-25 | [China clears way for Brazilian corn imports to fill Ukraine gap \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14931-china-clears-way-for-brazilian-corn-imports-to-fill-ukraine-gap-reuters.md) | -2.8% | -3.7% |

## Sources

- topagrar.com: https://www.topagrar.com/markt/news/usda-senkt-prognose-fur-ukrainische-weizen-und-maisexporte-um-3-mio-t-20031136.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.