# Russia's share of global sunflower oil exports could fall from 38% to 25%

> Russia's share of global sunflower oil exports, estimated at around 38%, could fall to 25–28% if maritime shipments are fully blocked in the Azov-Black Sea basin. India, Iran and Turkey are the largest buyers and could redirect purchases to other suppliers, and Russia's soybean meal share could also decline.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-13T09:07:04.655Z
- Category: logistics · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/97473-russia-s-share-of-global-sunflower-oil-exports-could-fall-from-38-to-25
- Commodities: [Sunflower Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SUNMEAL.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

A loss of Russian sunflower oil and meal exports would tighten global vegetable oil and meal supply, supporting prices as buyers shift to other origins.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bullish ▲
- SUNMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2021-09-30 | [Palm oil futures hit all-time high as China rushes to fill soy oil shortage \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45163-palm-oil-futures-hit-all-time-high-as-china-rushes-to-fill-soy-oil-shortage-s.md) | +2.2% | +7.2% |
| SBO | 2024-02-29 | [Global supply shortfall, higher freight rates may raise edible oil prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9427-global-supply-shortfall-higher-freight-rates-may-raise-edible-oil-prices.md) | +0.5% | +7.2% |
| SBO | 2022-11-07 | [Sunseed crush in Ukraine could fall more than 25% due to energy crisis - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38797-sunseed-crush-in-ukraine-could-fall-more-than-25-due-to-energy-crisis.md) | +2.1% | -11.1% |
| SBO | 2022-12-09 | [High rates of export of oilseeds from Ukraine support purchase prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38350-high-rates-of-export-of-oilseeds-from-ukraine-support-purchase-prices.md) | -2.7% | -4.6% |
| SBO | 2025-12-26 | [Ports Under Fire as Russia’s Drone and Missile Strikes Squeeze Ukraine’s Grain Exports – Ship Universe](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14156-ports-under-fire-as-russia-s-drone-and-missile-strikes-squeeze-ukraine-s-grain.md) | -0.1% | +4.5% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/russias-share-of-global-sunflower-oil-exports-could-fall-from-38-to-25/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.