# Sovecon expects Russian wheat exports in November at 2.8-3.2 million tonnes — Agroexpert

> Sovecon forecasts Russian wheat exports in November at 2.8-3.2 million tonnes, versus 5.2 million a year earlier and a five-year average of 4 million. On November 9 the consultancy cut its 2026/27 Russian wheat export forecast by 0.7 million tonnes to 36 million, and now sees no recovery of Black Sea shipping before spring 2027. A November 11 attack on the Ust-Luga oil terminal, a key Baltic grain port handling 600-700 thousand tonnes monthly, adds risk, and Lithuanian transit checks could delay Russian grain by two months or more.

- Date: 2026-11-12 · published 2026-11-13T07:38:03.264Z
- Category: logistics · region Russia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/97433-sovecon-expects-russian-wheat-exports-in-november-at-2-8-3-2-million-tonnes
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Sustained lower Russian wheat export flows tighten global wheat supply and support export prices, while ruble-denominated domestic prices face pressure. Buyers should expect firmer wheat offers and limited Russian availability through winter.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-06-28 | [Russia Taps Smaller Ports to Keep Up Record Wheat Export Pace - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64375-russia-taps-smaller-ports-to-keep-up-record-wheat-export-pace-bloomberg.md) | -4.2% | +0.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-04 | [Russia’s grain exports fell 38% in July due to port attacks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12809-russia-s-grain-exports-fell-38-in-july-due-to-port-attacks.md) | +0.1% | +5.3% |
| WHEAT | 2023-02-10 | [Rouen's weekly wheat exports drop to 39,700 tonnes - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37326-rouen-s-weekly-wheat-exports-drop-to-39-700-tonnes-fastmarkets.md) | -2.5% | -9.0% |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-25 | [Russia’s wheat exports to Egypt: Why shipping costs are rising despite lower prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18113-russia-s-wheat-exports-to-egypt-why-shipping-costs-are-rising-despite-lower.md) | +1.7% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-08-08 | [After attacking Ukraine wheat exports, Russia faces own shipping challenge \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14369-after-attacking-ukraine-wheat-exports-russia-faces-own-shipping-challenge.md) | -1.2% | -8.0% |
| KWHEAT | 2022-03-09 | [Explainer: India's wheat exports surge as world prices soar \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42246-explainer-india-s-wheat-exports-surge-as-world-prices-soar-reuters.md) | -2.4% | -8.7% |
| KWHEAT | 2020-12-10 | [U.S. Wheat Export Basis to Remain High Until March 2021 - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49692-u-s-wheat-export-basis-to-remain-high-until-march-2021-u-s-wheat-associates.md) | +2.0% | +8.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-08-27 | [Black Sea Wheat Export Trends \| UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14093-black-sea-wheat-export-trends-ukragroconsult.md) | +1.4% | -1.1% |

## Sources

- agroexpert.press: https://agroexpert.press/eksport-import/sovekon-ozhidaet-eksport-psheniczy-iz-rf-v-noyabre-na-urovne-28-32-mln-tonn/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.