# Grain gap: farmers and the Ministry of Agriculture assess the market differently — Paragro

> Russian officials report grain exports up 15% in value and 18% in volume since the start of the year, even as about 80% of shipments have been rerouted from Azov-Black Sea ports to Baltic and Caspian routes. The Grain Union says domestic wheat cost about $100/t in October while Baltic export prices were $260-270/t, and current prices are roughly half of last year's. The government is adding 13 billion rubles for autumn fieldwork, 10 billion rubles for rail subsidies, and planned grain purchases of up to 3 million tonnes, though farmers asked for three to five times that.

- Date: 2026-11-12 · published 2026-11-13T07:38:03.172Z
- Category: logistics · region Russia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/97432-grain-gap-farmers-and-the-ministry-of-agriculture-assess-the-market-differently
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

The roughly $160/t gap between domestic and export prices reflects longer, costlier logistics, which pressures farmgate wheat and weakens the outlook for winter sowing and 2027 supply. Feed buyers should watch Russian wheat as a cheaper feed grain alternative when logistics normalize.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-02-26 | [Grain growers, railways clash over slow pace of shipments - The Globe and Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66510-grain-growers-railways-clash-over-slow-pace-of-shipments-the-globe-and-mail.md) | +1.4% | +1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-27 | [The suspension of ship calls almost paralyzed agricultural logistics to Ukrainian ports \| Ukrainian and World Shipping News - Ukrainian Shipping Magazine - Ukrainian and World Shipping News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18466-the-suspension-of-ship-calls-almost-paralyzed-agricultural-logistics-to.md) | -2.0% | +3.3% |
| WHEAT | 2022-12-23 | [Export Of Agricultural Products Through ‘Grain Corridor’ Down 22% In 1 Week » The Center for Transport Strategies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14431-export-of-agricultural-products-through-grain-corridor-down-22-in-1-week-the.md) | +0.7% | -3.3% |
| WHEAT | 2024-08-26 | [Agriculture groups speak on rail disruption - Top Crop ManagerTop Crop Manager](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28904-agriculture-groups-speak-on-rail-disruption-top-crop-managertop-crop-manager.md) | +0.4% | +3.2% |
| WHEAT | 2025-01-08 | [Grain industry may be hit by MUA and Qube Ports dispute \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26509-grain-industry-may-be-hit-by-mua-and-qube-ports-dispute-farm-online-act.md) | -0.2% | +3.6% |

## Sources

- paragro.ru: https://paragro.ru/rynok/2026-11-12-zerno-razryv-cen-vesna-2027/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.