# INTERVIEW: Black Sea disruptions poised to benefit Australian wheat: Voznesenski | S&P Global

> Commonwealth Bank economist Dennis Voznesenski says Australian wheat crops are performing strongly, with yields in parts of South Australia and Victoria roughly double last year. Prolonged Black Sea export disruption could eventually push delayed buyers back into the market.

- Date: 2026-09-22 · published 2026-09-22T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/9697-interview-black-sea-disruptions-poised-to-benefit-australian-wheat-voznesenski
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A large Australian crop could capture Asian demand that Black Sea disruption leaves open, capping upside in wheat prices. Strong Australian supply is bearish for international wheat values over the medium term.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- KWHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-12-18 | [COMMODITIES 2025: Australia to see jump in wheat output but quality concerns remain \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26922-commodities-2025-australia-to-see-jump-in-wheat-output-but-quality-concerns.md) | +1.4% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2019-04-23 | [Global Wheat Market Outlook For Australian Growers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59641-global-wheat-market-outlook-for-australian-growers.md) | -4.2% | -0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2023-10-23 | [Rainfall lifts Australia’s wheat harvest by several million tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33573-rainfall-lifts-australia-s-wheat-harvest-by-several-million-tons.md) | -2.5% | -4.8% |
| WHEAT | 2018-03-06 | [La Niña Rains Bring Relief to Australian Wheat](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65929-la-nina-rains-bring-relief-to-australian-wheat.md) | -0.0% | -0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2020-10-12 | [Dry WA, ideal SE alter Australian wheat, barley forecasts - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50599-dry-wa-ideal-se-alter-australian-wheat-barley-forecasts-grain-central.md) | +1.2% | -0.3% |
| KWHEAT | 2019-04-23 | [Global Wheat Market Outlook For Australian Growers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59641-global-wheat-market-outlook-for-australian-growers.md) | -5.3% | +5.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-07-07 | [Wheat's turn-around on improved global rainfall \| Stock Journal \| SA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35091-wheat-s-turn-around-on-improved-global-rainfall-stock-journal-sa.md) | -4.3% | -9.0% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-07-28 | [International wheat futures surge on Ukrainian port bombings \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35090-international-wheat-futures-surge-on-ukrainian-port-bombings-farm-online-act.md) | -11.4% | -13.1% |

## Sources

- spglobal.com: https://www.spglobal.com/energy/en/news-research/latest-news/agriculture/092226-interview-black-sea-disruptions-poised-to-benefit-australian-wheat-voznesenski

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.