# El Niño Threatens Cocoa Crop - ADM Investor Services

> Ivory Coast's meteorology directorate warned El Niño could cut the country's 2026/27 cocoa output by 21%-25% as annual rainfall may fall 10%-27%. Port arrivals are running well behind last year, while ICE cocoa exchange stocks have reached their highest level in over two years.

- Date: 2026-11-12 · published 2026-11-12T21:13:15.190Z
- Category: weather · region Africa · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/96540-el-nino-threatens-cocoa-crop-adm-investor-services
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A sharp cocoa shortfall is a bearish signal for cocoa-linked feed byproducts only indirectly, so the direct feed impact is limited; the story mainly signals weather-driven tightness in tropical crops and is largely a cocoa-market story rather than a feed-grain driver.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-04-25 | [Global Ag News for Apr 25.24 - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30784-global-ag-news-for-apr-25-24-adm-investor-services.md) | +0.7% | +4.5% |
| CORN | 2023-09-19 | [Global Ag News for Sept 19.23 - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34184-global-ag-news-for-sept-19-23-adm-investor-services.md) | +1.0% | +1.6% |
| CORN | 2024-04-23 | [Higher Wheat Futures on Weather - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12143-higher-wheat-futures-on-weather-adm-investor-services.md) | -0.1% | +4.1% |
| CORN | 2024-07-29 | [Global Ag News for July 30.24 - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13561-global-ag-news-for-july-30-24-adm-investor-services.md) | -1.0% | -4.8% |
| CORN | 2023-06-15 | [Global Ag News for June 15.23 - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6887-global-ag-news-for-june-15-23-adm-investor-services.md) | +4.8% | -4.3% |
| SOY | 2023-09-19 | [Global Ag News for Sept 19.23 - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34184-global-ag-news-for-sept-19-23-adm-investor-services.md) | -1.4% | -2.3% |
| SOY | 2024-04-23 | [Higher Wheat Futures on Weather - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12143-higher-wheat-futures-on-weather-adm-investor-services.md) | -0.0% | +7.5% |
| SOY | 2020-10-07 | [Black Sea Futures at All-Time Highs - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12137-black-sea-futures-at-all-time-highs-adm-investor-services.md) | 0.0% | +1.4% |

## Sources

- admis.com: https://www.admis.com/el-nino-threatens-cocoa-crop/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.