# Smallholder farmers struggle on El Niño frontline; will the world help?

> Smallholder farmers in tropical and subtropical countries are already suffering from the record 2026-2027 El Niño, with extreme heat, drought and deluge reported. The UN estimates the event could push an additional 49 million people into acute hunger, with southern Africa and Central America likely hardest hit.

- Date: 2026-11-12 · published 2026-11-12T18:13:17.108Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/95898-smallholder-farmers-struggle-on-el-nino-frontline-will-the-world-help
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Expected deep cuts to rice, corn, cocoa, coffee and palm oil supply from El Niño could tighten global feed-relevant grain and oilseed markets and lift prices. The effect is broad but not yet quantified in new production data.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2019-06-11 | [Ag weather disasters: Help on the way for farmers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58579-ag-weather-disasters-help-on-the-way-for-farmers.md) | +6.2% | +3.2% |
| CORN | 2026-09-29 | [El Niño 2026/27: the signals SA farmers should look out for](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17401-el-nino-2026-27-the-signals-sa-farmers-should-look-out-for.md) | -4.3% | -8.8% |
| CORN | 2021-12-26 | [Withering crops highlight La Niña fears for Brazil soy farmers - BusinessWorld Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13761-withering-crops-highlight-la-nina-fears-for-brazil-soy-farmers-businessworld.md) | -1.3% | +3.3% |
| CORN | 2026-04-24 | [Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19629-explainer-how-el-nino-could-impact-the-world-s-weather-in-2026-27-reuters.md) | +1.2% | +2.2% |
| CORN | 2019-04-26 | [El Niño crop damage climbs to P7.96 billion - BusinessWorld Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59514-el-nino-crop-damage-climbs-to-p7-96-billion-businessworld-online.md) | +0.6% | +5.3% |
| RICE | 2017-03-14 | [Weak El Nino to have small impact on Asian crops this year \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71913-weak-el-nino-to-have-small-impact-on-asian-crops-this-year-the-star.md) | +2.4% | +6.7% |
| RICE | 2026-04-24 | [Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19629-explainer-how-el-nino-could-impact-the-world-s-weather-in-2026-27-reuters.md) | -2.0% | +18.1% |
| RICE | 2019-04-26 | [El Niño crop damage climbs to P7.96 billion - BusinessWorld Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59514-el-nino-crop-damage-climbs-to-p7-96-billion-businessworld-online.md) | +2.5% | +13.7% |

## Sources

- news.mongabay.com: https://news.mongabay.com/2026/11/smallholder-farmers-struggle-on-el-nino-frontline-will-the-world-help/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.