# EUR/USD Price Forecast — EURUSD (1.1078) 1.1270 Upside Target on ECB Hike Bets vs 19-Month Dollar High

> EUR/USD fell to 1.1066, its weakest level since May 2025, while the dollar index reached 103.08, a 19-month high. Eurozone inflation rose to 4.0% in October, and markets priced an 89% chance of a December Fed hike.

- Date: 2026-11-12 · published 2026-11-12T18:10:38.323Z
- Category: macro · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/95870-eur-usd-price-forecast-eurusd-1-1078-1-1270-upside-target-on-ecb-hike-bets-vs
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md), [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md)

## Why it matters

A stronger dollar and rising rate expectations make US commodities more expensive for euro-zone and other non-dollar buyers, potentially reducing import demand for feed ingredients.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bullish ▲
- EURUSD: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2026-06-23 | [Dollar climbs to 13-month high on Fed hike bets, safe-haven bid \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11987-dollar-climbs-to-13-month-high-on-fed-hike-bets-safe-haven-bid-reuters.md) | +0.3% | +0.0% |
| DXY | 2026-06-24 | [U.S. dollar rises to 13-month high on Fed rate hike views](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11992-u-s-dollar-rises-to-13-month-high-on-fed-rate-hike-views.md) | -0.1% | -0.4% |
| DXY | 2021-06-17 | [Dollar surges to two-month high on Fed rate-hike projection](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5930-dollar-surges-to-two-month-high-on-fed-rate-hike-projection.md) | +1.1% | +1.7% |
| DXY | 2026-06-30 | [US dollar holds near 13-month high as yen's slide, Fed rate hike bets boost the greenback](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19010-us-dollar-holds-near-13-month-high-as-yen-s-slide-fed-rate-hike-bets-boost-the.md) | -0.1% | -0.3% |
| DXY | 2024-09-23 | [US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Falls as Weak Eurozone Data Fuels ECB Rate Cut Bets \| FXEmpire](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28531-us-dollar-forecast-eur-usd-falls-as-weak-eurozone-data-fuels-ecb-rate-cut-bets.md) | -0.2% | +2.5% |
| EURUSD | 2024-09-23 | [US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Falls as Weak Eurozone Data Fuels ECB Rate Cut Bets \| FXEmpire](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28531-us-dollar-forecast-eur-usd-falls-as-weak-eurozone-data-fuels-ecb-rate-cut-bets.md) | 0.0% | -3.0% |
| EURUSD | 2016-10-11 | [Dollar climbs to 7-month peak on rate hike bets; pound plunges](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5892-dollar-climbs-to-7-month-peak-on-rate-hike-bets-pound-plunges.md) | -1.4% | -1.1% |
| EURUSD | 2024-04-16 | [Dollar hits 5-month high against euro; yen weakest since 1990](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30942-dollar-hits-5-month-high-against-euro-yen-weakest-since-1990.md) | +0.1% | +1.4% |

## Sources

- tradingnews.com: https://www.tradingnews.com/news/euro-slides-to-11078-eyes-11270-upside-target-as-ecb-december-hike-meets-a-150-bp-fed-rate-gap

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.