# Milk price outlook for 2026 not good - Brownfield Ag News

> Ever.ag's Jenny Wackershouser says US domestic dairy demand has lagged growing processing capacity and a 200,000-plus cow herd increase. Exports must absorb extra production, but European cheese prices have fallen to about $1.50, so US exporters may need prices near $1.30 to compete.

- Date: 2025-12-30 · published 2025-12-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/9577-milk-price-outlook-for-2026-not-good-brownfield-ag-news
- Commodities: [Milk (Class III)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MILK.md)

## Why it matters

Weak domestic demand and a global dairy glut mean milk prices are unlikely to rally in 2026, keeping pressure on dairy-linked feed demand.

## Read by commodity

- MILK: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MILK | 2025-12-31 | 1 | -4.2% | -3.6 | Ever.ag's bearish 2026 outlook says domestic demand lags growing processing capacity and herd expansion, and that US cheese would need to fall toward $1.30 to compete in export markets, pointing to lower cheese and Class III values. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MILK | 2018-06-25 | [Milk prices and optimism falling fast - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64653-milk-prices-and-optimism-falling-fast-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +0.1% | -7.0% |
| MILK | 2023-07-06 | [Part One: What’s driving rocky road for milk prices? \| Ag Moos](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35065-part-one-what-s-driving-rocky-road-for-milk-prices-ag-moos.md) | -1.0% | +24.8% |
| MILK | 2017-06-01 | [News for Dairy Co-ops - May 2017 - NMPF](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4352-news-for-dairy-co-ops-may-2017-nmpf.md) | +4.4% | +1.3% |
| MILK | 2025-03-05 | [What’s in the News: Dairy Markets Weaken Amid Tariffs, Falling Prices, and Lab-Grown Milk - Dairy Herd](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4703-what-s-in-the-news-dairy-markets-weaken-amid-tariffs-falling-prices-and-lab.md) | -8.6% | -7.8% |
| MILK | 2023-02-02 | [US cheese and dairy growth, prices on a downward trend - Food & Agribusiness](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5879-us-cheese-and-dairy-growth-prices-on-a-downward-trend-food-and-agribusiness.md) | -0.5% | -1.1% |

## Sources

- brownfieldagnews.com: https://brownfieldagnews.com/news/dairy-outlook-for-2026-challenging/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.