# Concern over adverse weather stalls 2026/27 soybean sales in Brazil; dollar volatility contributes

> A Pátria Agronegócios director says El Niño has caused severe drought and irreversible yield losses in parts of northwest Mato Grosso, Rondônia, Pará and Tocantins, while excessive rain is affecting the south. He argues Brazil's production will fall well below official and international forecasts and advises farmers to hold back sales. Dollar volatility is also cited as a factor slowing commercialization.

- Date: 2026-11-12 · published 2026-11-12T15:11:35.995Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/95708-concern-over-adverse-weather-stalls-2026-27-soybean-sales-in-brazil-dollar
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

If Brazilian 2026/27 soybean output falls short of consensus and farmers hold stocks, export availability tightens and supports soybean and soymeal prices. Slower farmer selling also tightens near-term physical supply.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-12-04 | [Wet Weather in Central Brazil a Cause for Concern](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61504-wet-weather-in-central-brazil-a-cause-for-concern.md) | +1.0% | -0.6% |
| SOY | 2023-10-25 | [All over Brazil, extreme weather is affecting soybean planting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13618-all-over-brazil-extreme-weather-is-affecting-soybean-planting.md) | -0.6% | +6.3% |
| SOY | 2019-01-18 | [Soybeans Close Higher as Hot Weather Persists in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12390-soybeans-close-higher-as-hot-weather-persists-in-brazil.md) | +1.9% | -0.0% |
| SOY | 2022-12-14 | [Concerns over Argentine soybean crop raises meal prices in Brazil - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38321-concerns-over-argentine-soybean-crop-raises-meal-prices-in-brazil-datamarnews.md) | -0.1% | +3.4% |
| SOY | 2025-10-03 | [Central Brazil Soybeans at Risk With Continued Dry Weather](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13464-central-brazil-soybeans-at-risk-with-continued-dry-weather.md) | -0.1% | +6.6% |
| SBM | 2018-12-04 | [Wet Weather in Central Brazil a Cause for Concern](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61504-wet-weather-in-central-brazil-a-cause-for-concern.md) | -1.0% | +0.2% |
| SBM | 2023-10-25 | [All over Brazil, extreme weather is affecting soybean planting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13618-all-over-brazil-extreme-weather-is-affecting-soybean-planting.md) | -0.1% | +6.7% |
| SBM | 2019-01-18 | [Soybeans Close Higher as Hot Weather Persists in Brazil](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12390-soybeans-close-higher-as-hot-weather-persists-in-brazil.md) | +0.5% | -1.8% |

## Sources

- noticiasagricolas.com.br: https://www.noticiasagricolas.com.br/videos/soja/431248-preocupacao-com-clima-adverso-trava-vendas-de-soja-202627-no-br-volatilidade-do-dolar-contribui.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.