# Global Rice Stocks Increase as International Trade Weakens

> The USDA's November 2026 outlook cut US rice production to 157.6 million hundredweight on lower yields and projected US ending stocks at 39.9 million hundredweight. The season-average US farm price falls $0.10 to $15.10 per hundredweight, while global supplies rise to 738 million tonnes and world ending stocks rise to 199.8 million tonnes. Global trade is forecast to fall 1.1 million tonnes to 60.2 million tonnes, with reduced export expectations from India.

- Date: 2026-11-12 · published 2026-11-12T15:06:05.402Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/95636-global-rice-stocks-increase-as-international-trade-weakens
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Rising world stocks and weaker trade point to softer international rice prices, which outweighs the smaller US crop and lower US stocks. Buyers should expect ample global supply to limit price gains.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2018-01-15 | [Winter hibernation - Rice Farming](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10605-winter-hibernation-rice-farming.md) | +5.2% | +7.0% |
| RICE | 2026-03-31 | [US rough rice stocks rise 3% as milled rice inventories surge 23% \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20258-us-rough-rice-stocks-rise-3-as-milled-rice-inventories-surge-23-feed-and-grain.md) | -1.5% | -6.6% |
| RICE | 2023-08-03 | [Exclusive: India rice stocks at three times target, easing supply concerns](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12037-exclusive-india-rice-stocks-at-three-times-target-easing-supply-concerns.md) | +0.8% | +4.8% |
| RICE | 2021-01-14 | [USDA Predicts Increase in India’s Wheat, Rice Exports \| IASPOINT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49095-usda-predicts-increase-in-india-s-wheat-rice-exports-iaspoint.md) | +2.8% | +0.1% |
| RICE | 2019-02-08 | [USDA: Rough rice in storage increased while stored milled rice decreased - Rice Farming](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60676-usda-rough-rice-in-storage-increased-while-stored-milled-rice-decreased-rice.md) | -3.0% | +0.9% |

## Sources

- ricenewstoday.com: https://ricenewstoday.com/global-rice-stocks-increase-as-international-trade-weakens/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.