# Thai Pork Crisis: Costs Squeeze Small Farmers, Smuggled Pork Persists, ASF Resurgence Feared

> The Thai National Swine Raisers Association said farm-gate hog prices are 72 baht/kg, but small farmers' production costs exceed 71 baht/kg and net realized prices fall to about 68 baht after transport. Smuggling of pork across Mekong, Myanmar and Laos borders continues, raising fears of African swine fever returning, and small producers struggle to get bank credit.

- Date: 2026-11-12 · published 2026-11-12T13:37:00.645Z
- Category: disease · region Thailand · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/95605-thai-pork-crisis-costs-squeeze-small-farmers-smuggled-pork-persists-asf
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Feed makers face soaring feed costs (over 65% of hog production cost) and thin farmer margins that could shrink Thai hog herds, reducing demand for feed ingredients like corn and soymeal; ASF resurgence would sharply cut domestic demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2019-12-25 | [African swine fever: China’s chicken farmers feeling the pinch as pork crisis takes toll on poultry industry \| South China Morning Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55714-african-swine-fever-china-s-chicken-farmers-feeling-the-pinch-as-pork-crisis.md) | +0.6% | +1.6% |
| CORN | 2019-07-26 | [China's duck farmers cash in as disease slashes pork output](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58086-china-s-duck-farmers-cash-in-as-disease-slashes-pork-output.md) | -2.2% | -10.6% |
| CORN | 2024-10-11 | [U.S. farmers call for vaccines to fight avian flu \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27869-u-s-farmers-call-for-vaccines-to-fight-avian-flu-the-western-producer.md) | -1.8% | +0.9% |
| CORN | 2025-06-01 | [Thai poultry industry poised for growth on Brazil bird flu, lower feed costs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24369-thai-poultry-industry-poised-for-growth-on-brazil-bird-flu-lower-feed-costs.md) | +0.5% | -2.2% |
| CORN | 2016-12-22 | [Chicken prices feared to soar over AI outbreak - The Korea Herald](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73602-chicken-prices-feared-to-soar-over-ai-outbreak-the-korea-herald.md) | +0.4% | +3.0% |
| SBM | 2019-07-26 | [China's duck farmers cash in as disease slashes pork output](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58086-china-s-duck-farmers-cash-in-as-disease-slashes-pork-output.md) | -3.5% | -3.4% |
| SBM | 2019-06-18 | [China pork prices rise as ASF depletes herd \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58588-china-pork-prices-rise-as-asf-depletes-herd-feed-strategy.md) | -2.1% | -4.9% |
| SBM | 2021-03-29 | [Observers Watching ASF in China, Herd Size a Variable Impacting Demand for Feed and Pork \| Farm Policy News \| Illinois](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48102-observers-watching-asf-in-china-herd-size-a-variable-impacting-demand-for-feed.md) | +0.2% | +5.3% |

## Sources

- thansettakij.com: https://www.thansettakij.com/economy/trade-agriculture/673593

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.