# El Niño Drought to Slow India's Milk Production Growth to 2% in 2027: USDA

> A USDA Foreign Agricultural Service report forecasts India's milk production at 226.5 million tonnes in 2027, up 2% from a revised 222 million tonnes in 2026. El Niño-related drought is expected to hurt feed and fodder availability and reduce animal productivity, partly offset by higher-yielding crossbred cows and government programmes. The USDA also expects tighter supplies to curb dairy exports.

- Date: 2026-11-11 · published 2026-11-12T12:09:58.882Z
- Category: report · region India · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/95396-el-nino-drought-to-slow-india-s-milk-production-growth-to-2-in-2027-usda
- Commodities: [Nonfat Dry Milk](https://feedsoft.ai/c/NFDM.md), [Milk (Class III)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MILK.md)

## Why it matters

Slower milk growth and tighter feed and fodder supplies in India, the world's largest milk producer, could reduce its dairy exports and support global dairy prices. Feed-grain demand for domestic livestock may also rise as fodder becomes scarce.

## Read by commodity

- MILK: bullish ▲
- NFDM: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MILK | 2024-03-25 | [Terrain \| Margins Improve, but Not Enough to Spur Milk Production Growth](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31204-terrain-margins-improve-but-not-enough-to-spur-milk-production-growth.md) | -0.4% | -5.1% |
| MILK | 2019-03-26 | [Milk production continues to slow](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60104-milk-production-continues-to-slow.md) | +0.1% | +5.8% |
| MILK | 2019-09-19 | [U.S. milk production growth remains small in August - Progressive Dairy \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57060-u-s-milk-production-growth-remains-small-in-august-progressive-dairy-ag-proud.md) | +0.1% | +2.0% |
| MILK | 2024-06-13 | [USDA outlook sees little change in 2024-25 milk production \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29752-usda-outlook-sees-little-change-in-2024-25-milk-production-ag-proud.md) | +0.6% | -0.1% |
| MILK | 2026-06-15 | [Global dairy markets heading towards ‘balance’ as milk production growth slows](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18813-global-dairy-markets-heading-towards-balance-as-milk-production-growth-slows.md) | +0.1% | -1.4% |

## Sources

- agronewstoday.com: https://agronewstoday.com/article/el-nino-drought-slow-india-milk-growth-usda
- eng.ruralvoice.in: https://eng.ruralvoice.in/national/el-nino-drought-to-slow-india-milk-production-growth-to-2-pc-in-2027-usda.html

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.