# OPEC output jumps nearly 2 million bpd toward prewar levels as Saudi production rebounds

> OPEC crude output rose nearly 2 million bpd in October to about 27.2 million bpd, against about 28.6 million before the Iran war, according to WSJ reporting of OPEC data. Saudi Arabia lifted production to about 10.6 million bpd from 8.4 million in September. Strait of Hormuz transits are still about a quarter of normal.

- Date: 2026-11-12 · published 2026-11-12T06:13:06.404Z
- Category: report · region Middle East · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/95032-opec-output-jumps-nearly-2-million-bpd-toward-prewar-levels-as-saudi-production
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

The supply rebound helps explain recent weakness in Brent, but a price rebound on the same day shows the war risk premium persists. Any attack on pipelines or Red Sea routes could quickly reverse the supply gains and lift energy costs for feed producers.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bearish ▼
- BRENT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BRENT | 2018-08-13 | [OPEC’s Output Rose in July Despite Decline in Saudi Oil Production - WSJ](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63443-opec-s-output-rose-in-july-despite-decline-in-saudi-oil-production-wsj.md) | -1.3% | +6.0% |
| BRENT | 2018-08-31 | [Saudi crude oil output in August rises to 10.424 million b/d: OPEC source](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63444-saudi-crude-oil-output-in-august-rises-to-10-424-million-b-d-opec-source.md) | -1.7% | +5.5% |
| BRENT | 2018-10-11 | [OPEC hikes oil output in September as Iran's production falls](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62459-opec-hikes-oil-output-in-september-as-iran-s-production-falls.md) | -4.2% | -14.8% |
| BRENT | 2019-10-31 | [OPEC October oil output jumps on swift Saudi recovery: Reuters survey By Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56469-opec-october-oil-output-jumps-on-swift-saudi-recovery-reuters-survey-by-reuters.md) | +2.5% | +6.8% |
| BRENT | 2018-01-31 | [US oil production tops 10 million barrels a day for first time since 1970](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67157-us-oil-production-tops-10-million-barrels-a-day-for-first-time-since-1970.md) | -2.3% | -1.9% |
| WTI | 2018-08-13 | [OPEC’s Output Rose in July Despite Decline in Saudi Oil Production - WSJ](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63443-opec-s-output-rose-in-july-despite-decline-in-saudi-oil-production-wsj.md) | -2.5% | -0.1% |
| WTI | 2018-08-31 | [Saudi crude oil output in August rises to 10.424 million b/d: OPEC source](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63444-saudi-crude-oil-output-in-august-rises-to-10-424-million-b-d-opec-source.md) | -3.6% | +4.2% |
| WTI | 2018-10-11 | [OPEC hikes oil output in September as Iran's production falls](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62459-opec-hikes-oil-output-in-september-as-iran-s-production-falls.md) | -4.8% | -15.7% |

## Sources

- investinglive.com: https://investinglive.com/commodities/icymi-opec-output-jumps-nearly-2-million-bpd-toward-prewar-levels-as-saudi-production-rebounds/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.