# Super El Niño declaration is hours away

> The US Climate Prediction Center is expected to officially declare a Super El Niño within hours. The event requires Pacific equatorial water temperatures at least 2 degrees Celsius above average for three consecutive months. Forecasters expect it to persist through winter and end in spring 2027, when La Niña conditions are forecast to take over.

- Date: 2026-11-11 · published 2026-11-12T03:13:02.039Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/94856-super-el-nino-declaration-is-hours-away
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A strong El Niño raises the risk of drought in parts of Asia, Australia and southern Africa and of uneven rainfall in South America, which can tighten supplies of grains, oilseeds and feed ingredients and support prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-10-12 | [Argentina’s soy production grows under super El Niño \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13772-argentina-s-soy-production-grows-under-super-el-nino-world-grain.md) | -1.1% | — |
| CORN | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2024-04-18 | [Goodbye, El Niño. Hello, La Niña? The Big Transition to La Niña is Already Underway - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30650-goodbye-el-nino-hello-la-nina-the-big-transition-to-la-nina-is-already-underway.md) | -0.4% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2023-11-01 | [El Niño's Rain Games: A Global Hunger Crisis?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33099-el-nino-s-rain-games-a-global-hunger-crisis.md) | -0.1% | -4.0% |
| CORN | 2019-01-17 | [How technology is helping farmers predict and prepare for El Niño \| PreventionWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61023-how-technology-is-helping-farmers-predict-and-prepare-for-el-nino-preventionweb.md) | +0.7% | +2.5% |
| SOY | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | -2.0% | -2.1% |
| SOY | 2024-04-18 | [Goodbye, El Niño. Hello, La Niña? The Big Transition to La Niña is Already Underway - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30650-goodbye-el-nino-hello-la-nina-the-big-transition-to-la-nina-is-already-underway.md) | +1.4% | +5.6% |
| SOY | 2019-01-17 | [How technology is helping farmers predict and prepare for El Niño \| PreventionWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61023-how-technology-is-helping-farmers-predict-and-prepare-for-el-nino-preventionweb.md) | +2.4% | +1.0% |

## Sources

- foxweather.com: https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/super-el-nino-hours-away-forecast-winter-fall

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.