# India rabi sowing at risk as monsoon ends 13% below average

> India's 2026 southwest monsoon ended 13 percent below its long-period average, the fourth-lowest summer rainfall since 2001. Reservoir storage was 71.84 percent of capacity on October 1, below both last year and normal, and a USDA attaché report expects rabi sowing to shift toward drought-tolerant crops.

- Date: 2026-11-11 · published 2026-11-12T00:15:50.277Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/94453-india-rabi-sowing-at-risk-as-monsoon-ends-13-below-average
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Weak monsoon rains and low reservoirs can reduce winter crop area and yields in India, tightening domestic grain and oilseed supplies. Shifts toward drought-tolerant crops could also change feed grain availability.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2023-10-09 | [Explained: How is ‘below normal’ monsoon 2023 impacting India’s economy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33579-explained-how-is-below-normal-monsoon-2023-impacting-india-s-economy.md) | -0.2% | -3.4% |
| CORN | 2023-09-30 | [India's monsoon rains hit five-year low due to El Nino](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34001-india-s-monsoon-rains-hit-five-year-low-due-to-el-nino.md) | +2.7% | +2.6% |
| CORN | 2019-02-28 | [El Niño rising: Will it affect the Indian monsoon? \| Explained News - The Indian Express](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60534-el-nino-rising-will-it-affect-the-indian-monsoon-explained-news-the-indian.md) | -0.8% | +1.1% |
| CORN | 2022-07-21 | [Is U.S. corn yield headed for a below-average result?  \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13343-is-u-s-corn-yield-headed-for-a-below-average-result-reuters.md) | -5.2% | -0.3% |
| CORN | 2019-08-21 | [Illinois corn yields seen below average but improve as tour scouts go West](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57430-illinois-corn-yields-seen-below-average-but-improve-as-tour-scouts-go-west.md) | +1.9% | +1.2% |
| SOY | 2021-08-12 | [India gets below-average monsoon rains for second straight week](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45522-india-gets-below-average-monsoon-rains-for-second-straight-week.md) | -3.4% | -10.4% |
| SOY | 2025-05-30 | [How does India benefit from early, ample monsoon rains?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24619-how-does-india-benefit-from-early-ample-monsoon-rains.md) | -0.0% | -2.3% |
| SOY | 2023-09-30 | [India's monsoon rains hit five-year low due to El Nino](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34001-india-s-monsoon-rains-hit-five-year-low-due-to-el-nino.md) | -0.7% | +1.7% |

## Sources

- fertilizerdaily.com: https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/20261111-india-rabi-sowing-weak-monsoon-el-nino/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.