# Inmet forecasts a hotter quarter and irregular rain for the countryside

> Brazil's Inmet agroclimatic bulletin for November to January projects below-average rain across much of the North and above-normal temperatures in large parts of the country. It warns of low soil water in soybean, corn and rice areas, especially in southeast Pará and Tocantins.

- Date: 2026-11-11 · published 2026-11-12T00:14:07.259Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/94434-inmet-forecasts-a-hotter-quarter-and-irregular-rain-for-the-countryside
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Dry, hot conditions in key early-season soybean and corn areas raise yield risk for the 2026/27 crop, which supports prices for feed grains and soymeal.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2026-10-08 | [El Niño raises risks for agricultural commodities in the 4th quarter - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17054-el-nino-raises-risks-for-agricultural-commodities-in-the-4th-quarter-revista.md) | -0.8% | -5.1% |
| SOY | 2022-11-25 | [Irregular Rains and Dry Pockets Worry Farmers in Mato Grosso](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13686-irregular-rains-and-dry-pockets-worry-farmers-in-mato-grosso.md) | -0.4% | +2.2% |
| SOY | 2022-11-18 | [Irregular rains and high temperatures cause concern for rural producers - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13689-irregular-rains-and-high-temperatures-cause-concern-for-rural-producers-revista.md) | +1.4% | +4.4% |
| SOY | 2023-06-19 | [Rapeseed prices rose 9.2% for the week amid drought in the US and Canada and forecasts of a reduced crop in Australia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35593-rapeseed-prices-rose-9-2-for-the-week-amid-drought-in-the-us-and-canada-and.md) | +3.7% | +1.7% |
| SOY | 2024-08-26 | [Hot and Dry Weather Forecast for Central Brazil's Planting Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13550-hot-and-dry-weather-forecast-for-central-brazil-s-planting-season.md) | +3.2% | +9.2% |
| CORN | 2023-10-10 | [COCERAL forecasts the grain harvest in the EU-27 + UK at 289.8 mln tons.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33560-coceral-forecasts-the-grain-harvest-in-the-eu-27-uk-at-289-8-mln-tons.md) | -0.6% | -1.4% |
| CORN | 2026-10-08 | [El Niño raises risks for agricultural commodities in the 4th quarter - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17054-el-nino-raises-risks-for-agricultural-commodities-in-the-4th-quarter-revista.md) | -2.4% | -5.9% |
| CORN | 2022-11-25 | [Irregular Rains and Dry Pockets Worry Farmers in Mato Grosso](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13686-irregular-rains-and-dry-pockets-worry-farmers-in-mato-grosso.md) | -3.3% | -2.6% |

## Sources

- jornalpaubrasil.com: https://jornalpaubrasil.com/clima/prognostico-agroclimatico-inmet-novembro-janeiro/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.