# Middle East tensions raise stakes in latest Indian urea tender

> India's RCF urea tender closed on 3 October for shipments to 20 November, coinciding with escalating Middle East tensions that lifted derivatives and physical offers. Egyptian granular urea rose $17/t in under five days to about $387/t FOB, and US Gulf barge prices exceeded $330/t FOB Nola for the first time since June.

- Date: 2024-10-04 · published 2024-10-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region India · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/9418-middle-east-tensions-raise-stakes-in-latest-indian-urea-tender
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

Middle East suppliers are the primary source for India, so risk to those cargoes and the firm tender outcome support higher global urea prices and nitrogen input costs.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2024-10-02 | 1 | +1.9% | 3.7 | The Indian tender and Middle East tensions lifted physical offers and NOLA barge prices, but the article is dated Oct 4, after the move, so it is a partial confirmation. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2024-10-05 | [Middle East tensions support urea price rally.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9417-middle-east-tensions-support-urea-price-rally.md) | -0.1% | -4.4% |
| UREA | 2026-07-29 | [Rising tensions in the Middle East cause urea to rise almost 14% in one month.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18675-rising-tensions-in-the-middle-east-cause-urea-to-rise-almost-14-in-one-month.md) | +0.6% | -1.2% |
| UREA | 2026-03-02 | [Urea derivatives surge on Middle East conflict \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4428-urea-derivatives-surge-on-middle-east-conflict-latest-market-news.md) | +25.5% | +36.4% |
| UREA | 2024-10-02 | [Middle East tensions add to combustible urea market - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5244-middle-east-tensions-add-to-combustible-urea-market-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +2.5% | +1.6% |
| UREA | 2026-10-11 | [Brazil's potash prices fall while urea climbs on Middle East tensions \| Agro News Today](https://feedsoft.ai/events/700-brazil-s-potash-prices-fall-while-urea-climbs-on-middle-east-tensions-agro-news.md) | +2.6% | — |

## Sources

- profercy.com: https://www.profercy.com/insights/middle-east-tensions-raise-stakes-in-latest-indian-urea-tender

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.