# Vietnam robusta and the 2027 rain deficit risk

> Vietnam’s meteorological service forecasts a rain deficit and high temperatures in the Central Highlands, the country’s main coffee-growing region, from February to April 2027. It gives a 96% chance that El Niño will remain very strong through January, and the agriculture ministry has urged local departments to prepare for drought. Vietnam is forecast to produce 31.4 million 60-kilogram bags of robusta in 2026/27.

- Date: 2026-11-11 · published 2026-11-11T15:19:01.645Z
- Category: weather · region Vietnam · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/93745-vietnam-robusta-and-the-2027-rain-deficit-risk
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Dry, hot conditions could stress coffee crops in the world’s largest robusta-producing country, threatening supply and lending support to robusta prices. The impact depends on how much rainfall deficits reduce yields.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2020-10-22 | [Here comes the rain again \| ANZ](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50563-here-comes-the-rain-again-anz.md) | +1.6% | +11.5% |
| CORN | 2020-11-30 | [Rainfall Deficit in Brazil Continues to Be a Major Concern](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50004-rainfall-deficit-in-brazil-continues-to-be-a-major-concern.md) | -1.5% | -1.0% |
| CORN | 2025-01-06 | [What Drove the Recovery Rally in Grains and Cattle?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11603-what-drove-the-recovery-rally-in-grains-and-cattle.md) | +4.1% | +5.3% |
| CORN | 2026-10-14 | [El Niño puts Panama Canal capacity and grain shipments at risk in 2027 \| World Ports Organization](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16760-el-nino-puts-panama-canal-capacity-and-grain-shipments-at-risk-in-2027-world.md) | -1.8% | — |
| CORN | 2026-02-11 | [Lack of rain pressures corn and soybeans in the South](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13451-lack-of-rain-pressures-corn-and-soybeans-in-the-south.md) | -0.5% | +1.7% |
| SOY | 2020-10-22 | [Here comes the rain again \| ANZ](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50563-here-comes-the-rain-again-anz.md) | -1.4% | +9.7% |
| SOY | 2020-11-30 | [Rainfall Deficit in Brazil Continues to Be a Major Concern](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50004-rainfall-deficit-in-brazil-continues-to-be-a-major-concern.md) | -2.4% | +5.3% |
| SOY | 2025-01-06 | [What Drove the Recovery Rally in Grains and Cattle?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11603-what-drove-the-recovery-rally-in-grains-and-cattle.md) | +3.3% | +7.9% |

## Sources

- wikifarmer.com: https://wikifarmer.com/library/en/article/vietnam-robusta-el-nino-rain-deficit-2027

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.