# 1.5°C Exceedance Now Virtually Certain—Turning Climate Information and Adaptation into Action on the Ground

> The report says 2026 is virtually certain to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and is likely to be the second-warmest year on record. October set a global temperature record, El Niño strengthened, and parts of central and eastern Europe experienced persistently low river flows while other areas faced heavy rain and flooding.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-11T12:26:51.771Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/93623-1-5-c-exceedance-now-virtually-certain-turning-climate-information-and
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

More frequent or intense weather extremes can raise the risk of crop losses and disrupt agricultural supply, potentially supporting prices in affected markets. The article provides broad climate context rather than a specific crop-supply estimate.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-07-03 | [The ENSO Outlook helps people turn climate information into anticipatory action - IWMI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18243-the-enso-outlook-helps-people-turn-climate-information-into-anticipatory-action.md) | +1.6% | +1.6% |
| CORN | 2018-03-06 | [Outlook for the 2018 growing season \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65927-outlook-for-the-2018-growing-season-climate-and-agriculture-in-the-southeast.md) | +2.7% | +5.3% |
| CORN | 2018-12-06 | [Wheat growers need to keep their eye on climate change - International Milling Directory](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61506-wheat-growers-need-to-keep-their-eye-on-climate-change-international-milling.md) | +0.2% | +2.0% |
| CORN | 2018-12-05 | [Agrometeorological applications to predict the influence of climate on crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61501-agrometeorological-applications-to-predict-the-influence-of-climate-on-crops.md) | +0.2% | +2.0% |
| CORN | 2018-10-06 | [How to prepare for an El Niño winter \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62472-how-to-prepare-for-an-el-nino-winter-climate-and-agriculture-in-the-southeast.md) | -0.3% | -0.4% |
| SOY | 2026-07-03 | [The ENSO Outlook helps people turn climate information into anticipatory action - IWMI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18243-the-enso-outlook-helps-people-turn-climate-information-into-anticipatory-action.md) | +5.7% | +3.6% |
| SOY | 2018-03-06 | [Outlook for the 2018 growing season \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65927-outlook-for-the-2018-growing-season-climate-and-agriculture-in-the-southeast.md) | -3.1% | -2.7% |
| SOY | 2021-11-16 | [Understanding La Niña Conditions Going Into the Winter Season \| USDA Climate Hubs](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43970-understanding-la-nina-conditions-going-into-the-winter-season-usda-climate-hubs.md) | +1.4% | +0.2% |

## Sources

- jircas.go.jp: https://www.jircas.go.jp/en/program/proc/blog/20261110

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.