# Exceptional El Niño and high fuel and energy costs continue to be main risk factors of agricultural production

> The JRC’s October agricultural assessment reports below-average early-season rainfall in parts of Southern Africa and forecasts hotter, drier conditions across central and southern SADC areas through March 2027. It also says low rainfall and high temperatures have reduced production in parts of East Africa, worsening food insecurity, while forecast rains could support crops and pasture but bring flood risks.

- Date: 2026-11-11 · published 2026-11-11T12:16:09.272Z
- Category: weather · region Africa · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/93463-exceptional-el-nino-and-high-fuel-and-energy-costs-continue-to-be-main-risk
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Drought and heat threaten Southern African maize production, while East African crop losses can increase import demand. The outlook is supportive for affected grain prices, though the forecast rainfall could limit losses in some areas.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-06-08 | [Agricultural production threatened by combination of El Niño and high input prices - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18726-agricultural-production-threatened-by-combination-of-el-nino-and-high-input.md) | -0.9% | +0.5% |
| CORN | 2026-07-28 | [El Niño threatens agricultural production and food security across the continent; FAO advocates for timely anticipatory action](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18241-el-nino-threatens-agricultural-production-and-food-security-across-the.md) | -1.7% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2024-02-26 | [964. Convergence of El Niño and Expected Transition to La Niña \| Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences \| JIRCAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31587-964-convergence-of-el-nino-and-expected-transition-to-la-nina-japan.md) | +0.5% | +7.8% |
| CORN | 2018-11-23 | [AgroPages-Brazil: El Niño alters the dynamics of pests and diseases, and demands attention from farmers-Agricultural news](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61882-agropages-brazil-el-nino-alters-the-dynamics-of-pests-and-diseases-and-demands.md) | -0.4% | +8.4% |
| CORN | 2026-04-02 | [Raising energy and fertilizer prices and upcoming El Niño main concerns to farming  - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19632-raising-energy-and-fertilizer-prices-and-upcoming-el-nino-main-concerns-to.md) | -1.6% | +1.9% |

## Sources

- joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu: https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/jrc-news-and-updates/exceptional-el-nino-and-high-fuel-and-energy-costs-continue-be-main-risk-factors-agricultural-2026-11-10_en

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.