# El Niño increases risks in soybean marketing 2026/27

> Weather uncertainty and advance sales are making Brazilian soybean producers more cautious about marketing the 2026/27 crop. By November, about 35% of expected production had been sold, versus 26% a year earlier, while sales in Mato Grosso reached 49%; below-average rainfall is forecast in the Center-West through November 16.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-11T12:14:05.381Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/93453-el-nino-increases-risks-in-soybean-marketing-2026-27
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Dry-weather risk could lower yields and leave producers unable to fulfill forward sales, encouraging them to slow additional selling and potentially reducing near-term export availability. The same production uncertainty supports soybean prices if crop losses materialize.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2026-05-21 | [What a Possible 2026/27 Super El Niño Means for Commodity Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19191-what-a-possible-2026-27-super-el-nino-means-for-commodity-markets.md) | -0.4% | -6.4% |
| SOY | 2026-09-16 | [A Voz Do Mercado Debate Riscos Do El Niño Para A Safra 2026/27 \| Bela Cereais](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13418-a-voz-do-mercado-debate-riscos-do-el-nino-para-a-safra-2026-27-bela-cereais.md) | +0.4% | -2.2% |
| SOY | 2024-05-06 | [Rains in the South concern players; demand for soybean meal increases – Eita Gota](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6449-rains-in-the-south-concern-players-demand-for-soybean-meal-increases-eita-gota.md) | +0.3% | -1.4% |
| SOY | 2022-05-04 | [Rain, heat increase risk of ponding \| MU Extension](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13360-rain-heat-increase-risk-of-ponding-mu-extension.md) | -1.7% | +1.9% |
| SOY | 2026-08-05 | [Dry Spell in Key Brazilian Soybean Regions Threatens Timely Planting of 2026/27 Crop — BRZ News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13422-dry-spell-in-key-brazilian-soybean-regions-threatens-timely-planting-of-2026-27.md) | -0.6% | +13.1% |

## Sources

- revistacultivar.com: https://revistacultivar.com/news/el-nino-raises-risks-in-soybean-marketing-2026-27

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.