# Canada’s oat outlook points to tighter 2026–27 supplies

> Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada forecasts Canadian oat production at 3.031 million tonnes in 2026–27, down from 3.920 million the previous season, citing reduced seeded area and lower yields. Total supply is projected to fall to 3.628 million tonnes from 4.441 million, with carry-out stocks declining to 400,000 tonnes from 577,000.

- Date: 2026-11-11 · published 2026-11-11T12:05:52.550Z
- Category: report · region Canada · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/93377-canada-s-oat-outlook-points-to-tighter-2026-27-supplies
- Commodities: [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Canadian oat availability and ending stocks could tighten sourcing options for oat-based feed and cereal ingredients, supporting oat prices.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| OATS | 2024-06-19 | [Oat outlook uncertain after tight supply from 2023 crop - Farmers Weekly](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29830-oat-outlook-uncertain-after-tight-supply-from-2023-crop-farmers-weekly.md) | -10.3% | +0.7% |
| OATS | 2026-08-01 | [Oat price upheaval unlikely, despite tightening supply in 2026-27](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18394-oat-price-upheaval-unlikely-despite-tightening-supply-in-2026-27.md) | +0.2% | +12.4% |
| OATS | 2026-10-06 | [Canada Know-Risk Market Outlook \| Oats Knows?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17165-canada-know-risk-market-outlook-oats-knows.md) | -1.5% | -17.5% |
| OATS | 2026-07-22 | [Oat price upheaval unlikely, despite tightening supply in 2026-27 - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18396-oat-price-upheaval-unlikely-despite-tightening-supply-in-2026-27-grainews.md) | -5.9% | -0.5% |
| OATS | 2026-09-22 | [Oats Rose to $4.16 After StatCan Saw Canada's Crop Shrink 22.7%](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11993-oats-rose-to-4-16-after-statcan-saw-canada-s-crop-shrink-22-7.md) | +1.1% | -6.5% |

## Sources

- hcfoods.com: https://hcfoods.com/journal/canada-oat-supply-outlook-october-2026/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.