# Rice prices rise amid lower expected production, inadequate rainfall, reduced fertilizer use

> Rice prices in India have risen as traders anticipate lower 2026–27 paddy yields due to inadequate rainfall and reduced fertilizer application. In Kota, paddy prices reached ₹4,500–4,700 per quintal, with depleted carryover stocks and higher input costs also cited; the scale of any production loss remains uncertain.

- Date: 2026-11-11 · published 2026-11-11T09:06:41.753Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/93251-rice-prices-rise-amid-lower-expected-production-inadequate-rainfall-reduced
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced rainfall and fertilizer use could lower Indian rice output, tightening domestic availability and supporting prices. Higher local prices may also affect export competitiveness if the tighter supply persists.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2017-05-17 | [U.S Rice Production Estimates Drastically Reduced \| USA Rice Federation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71083-u-s-rice-production-estimates-drastically-reduced-usa-rice-federation.md) | +2.7% | +3.8% |
| RICE | 2018-08-09 | [Rice prices in India hold steady; low rainfall may hurt output](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8647-rice-prices-in-india-hold-steady-low-rainfall-may-hurt-output.md) | -3.1% | +1.2% |
| RICE | 2018-09-19 | [Rice prices hit highest level; production target unattainable \| Philstar.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63114-rice-prices-hit-highest-level-production-target-unattainable-philstar-com.md) | -1.7% | +8.4% |
| RICE | 2025-01-31 | [Rice prices increase explained \| CW Group](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26585-rice-prices-increase-explained-cw-group.md) | -2.0% | -4.7% |
| RICE | 2024-03-11 | [Vietnam’s rice exports projected to decline amid quality shift](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31268-vietnam-s-rice-exports-projected-to-decline-amid-quality-shift.md) | +1.8% | -8.0% |

## Sources

- hindustantimes.com: https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/rice-prices-rise-amid-lower-expected-production-inadequate-rainfall-reduced-fertilizer-use-101794380073538.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.