# El Niño raises concern about advance sales of the 2026/27 soybean crop

> Brazilian farmers are slowing forward sales of the 2026/27 soybean crop as El Niño-related rainfall uncertainty raises concerns about producing enough to meet existing contracts. About 35.7% of expected production had been sold by November, versus 26% a year earlier; in Mato Grosso, the share was 49%, compared with 33% a year earlier.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-11T06:14:40.973Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/93050-el-nino-raises-concern-about-advance-sales-of-the-2026-27-soybean-crop
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

The prospect of irregular rainfall raises production and fulfillment risk, encouraging farmers to hold back from additional sales and potentially tightening export availability, which is supportive for soybean prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2026-01-29 | [RS 2025/26 Harvest: Dry weather raises concerns about soybeans - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13454-rs-2025-26-harvest-dry-weather-raises-concerns-about-soybeans-cultivar-magazine.md) | +1.6% | +6.8% |
| SOY | 2024-06-21 | [Stress and the 2024 corn and soybean crops - farmdoc](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13176-stress-and-the-2024-corn-and-soybean-crops-farmdoc.md) | -0.3% | -5.0% |
| SOY | 2026-02-11 | [Lack of rain pressures corn and soybeans in the South](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13451-lack-of-rain-pressures-corn-and-soybeans-in-the-south.md) | +1.0% | +6.9% |
| SOY | 2022-12-14 | [Concerns over Argentine soybean crop raises meal prices in Brazil - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38321-concerns-over-argentine-soybean-crop-raises-meal-prices-in-brazil-datamarnews.md) | -0.1% | +3.4% |
| SOY | 2022-01-26 | [Growing Concerns About the South American Crop \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43185-growing-concerns-about-the-south-american-crop-red-river-farm-network.md) | +8.6% | +19.0% |

## Sources

- canalrural.com.br: https://www.canalrural.com.br/agricultura/el-nino-acende-alerta-para-vendas-antecipadas-de-soja-na-safra-26-27/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.