# Forecasting the Coming Week: Focus remains on data and rate cut bets

> The US dollar index fell to five-month lows near 103.20 after weak US jobs data increased bets on a 50 basis point Fed cut in September. The week's calendar includes the RBA rate decision, Fed speakers and services PMI releases.

- Date: 2024-08-02 · published 2024-08-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/9289-forecasting-the-coming-week-focus-remains-on-data-and-rate-cut-bets
- Commodities: [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md), [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md)

## Why it matters

Dollar weakness driven by Fed rate-cut expectations tends to support dollar-priced grains and oilseeds, though the scheduled data releases could shift that view.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- EURUSD: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2024-08-02 | 1 | +1.2% | 3.7 | Dollar index fell to five-month lows as markets priced a possible 50bp September Fed cut, confirming broad USD weakness as the mirror of euro strength. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2025-08-28 | [Ringgit rebounds after two-day slide on Fed rate cut bets and key US data in focus \| Malay Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23582-ringgit-rebounds-after-two-day-slide-on-fed-rate-cut-bets-and-key-us-data-in.md) | +0.0% | -0.2% |
| DXY | 2019-05-24 | [Dollar slips as weak data boosts US rate cut bets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59248-dollar-slips-as-weak-data-boosts-us-rate-cut-bets.md) | +0.4% | -1.2% |
| DXY | 2025-10-01 | [After The Rate Cut: Investing Beyond U.S. Markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22765-after-the-rate-cut-investing-beyond-u-s-markets.md) | +0.3% | +0.3% |
| DXY | 2020-08-30 | [Pound To Dollar Rate Forecast: Could A Dovish BoE Weigh On GBP/USD Rates This Week? \| Exchange Rates UK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51866-pound-to-dollar-rate-forecast-could-a-dovish-boe-weigh-on-gbp-usd-rates-this.md) | +0.1% | +1.4% |
| DXY | 2023-03-31 | [Dollar up vs. euro but remains on track for weekly loss after inflation data](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37072-dollar-up-vs-euro-but-remains-on-track-for-weekly-loss-after-inflation-data.md) | -0.1% | +0.0% |
| EURUSD | 2026-07-30 | [Euro Rises on Strong Eurozone Data and ECB Rate Hike Bets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7685-euro-rises-on-strong-eurozone-data-and-ecb-rate-hike-bets.md) | +1.4% | +2.3% |
| EURUSD | 2023-03-31 | [Dollar up vs. euro but remains on track for weekly loss after inflation data](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37072-dollar-up-vs-euro-but-remains-on-track-for-weekly-loss-after-inflation-data.md) | +0.3% | +1.1% |
| EURUSD | 2025-11-25 | [EUR/USD Forecast: Advances as US data, dovish Fed signal rate cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22154-eur-usd-forecast-advances-as-us-data-dovish-fed-signal-rate-cut.md) | +0.7% | +2.2% |

## Sources

- fxstreet.com: https://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/forecasting-the-coming-week-focus-remains-on-data-and-rate-cut-bets-202408021507

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.