# USDA: EU Butter Output Seen Down 1.7% in 2027

> USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service forecasts EU27 butter production at 2.26 million tonnes in 2027, down 1.7% from 2026. The forecast reflects stronger returns for cheese, which are expected to draw milk away from butter production, while large butter stocks built up in 2026 are expected to help meet demand.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-11T00:23:21.968Z
- Category: report · region European Union · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/92699-usda-eu-butter-output-seen-down-1-7-in-2027
- Commodities: [Milk (Class III)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/MILK.md)

## Why it matters

The shift toward cheese and existing stocks point to lower butter production without an equivalent reduction in overall milk supply. This could tighten butter availability, while the impact on feed demand is limited and indirect.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MILK | 2025-01-06 | [USDA Dairy Production Report: Surprising Trends in Cheese, Butter, and Milk Output for November 2024 \| The Bullvine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26522-usda-dairy-production-report-surprising-trends-in-cheese-butter-and-milk-output.md) | -1.3% | -0.4% |
| MILK | 2017-05-27 | [USDA Expects Higher Milk Output, Higher Cheese, Milk Prices In 2018 – Histórico eDairyNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71018-usda-expects-higher-milk-output-higher-cheese-milk-prices-in-2018-historico.md) | +5.3% | +4.7% |
| MILK | 2025-10-06 | [USDA raises milk output forecast for 2025 and 2026
						 \| The Dairy Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22411-usda-raises-milk-output-forecast-for-2025-and-2026-the-dairy-site.md) | -1.7% | -1.7% |
| MILK | 2026-06-12 | [USDA Hikes 2026, 2027 Milk Production Forecasts; Rabobank Sees Slowing Global Milk Output - Cheese Reporter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18809-usda-hikes-2026-2027-milk-production-forecasts-rabobank-sees-slowing-global.md) | +0.3% | -1.6% |
| MILK | 2023-05-25 | [EU27 cheese gains at expense of butter, says USDA FAS - Dairy Industries International](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35963-eu27-cheese-gains-at-expense-of-butter-says-usda-fas-dairy-industries.md) | -3.5% | -7.8% |

## Sources

- agribusinesswire.com: https://agribusinesswire.com/articles/usda-forecasts-eu-butter-output-down-1-7

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.