# European Food Production at Risk As More Ammonia Production Lost | CZ app

> Urea prices stabilised after India's IPL announced a 1.5-million-tonne tender closing April 8, lifting Middle East paper futures by USD 9-13/tonne. Ammonia output in Europe is being curtailed by another producer amid high gas prices, and China's export resumption is a key uncertainty.

- Date: 2025-03-31 · published 2025-03-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/9269-european-food-production-at-risk-as-more-ammonia-production-lost-cz-app
- Commodities: [Natural Gas](https://feedsoft.ai/c/NATGAS.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

A large Indian tender and European ammonia curtailments support nitrogen prices, while possible Chinese exports could reverse the rally, adding cost uncertainty for feed producers.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲
- NATGAS: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2025-04-02 | 1 | +4.3% | 3.7 | India's IPL announced a 1.5 Mt urea tender closing April 8, which lifted Middle East paper futures by USD 9-13/t and steadied prices, while European ammonia curtailments and uncertainty over China's exports add supply-side support, consistent with a sharp one-day rise. |
| UREA | 2025-04-03 | 1 | +4.3% | 3.7 | India's IPL 1.5-million-tonne urea tender closing April 8 lifted Middle East futures by USD 9-13/tonne, while European ammonia curtailments from high gas prices tightened supply, both plausibly feeding a sharp urea price jump a few days later, though the event predates the move by three days and China's export uncertainty adds ambiguity. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| NATGAS | 2016-06-03 | [US Natural Gas Production Stalls As Europe Becomes The Dumping Ground For Gas Supplies \| The Corner](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7633-us-natural-gas-production-stalls-as-europe-becomes-the-dumping-ground-for-gas.md) | +5.2% | +24.7% |
| NATGAS | 2021-12-20 | [Europe desperate for LNG, while Asia has more than it needs \| The Straits Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43795-europe-desperate-for-lng-while-asia-has-more-than-it-needs-the-straits-times.md) | +1.2% | +19.3% |
| NATGAS | 2022-05-06 | [U.S. gas prices soar as Europe and Asia scramble for LNG](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12161-u-s-gas-prices-soar-as-europe-and-asia-scramble-for-lng.md) | -12.9% | -2.0% |
| NATGAS | 2022-03-01 | [Europe remains top destination for U.S. LNG for 3rd consecutive month](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42451-europe-remains-top-destination-for-u-s-lng-for-3rd-consecutive-month.md) | +10.2% | +24.4% |
| NATGAS | 2021-12-21 | [LNG cargoes diverted toward Europe from Asia as gas prices soar \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43782-lng-cargoes-diverted-toward-europe-from-asia-as-gas-prices-soar-reuters.md) | -5.2% | +14.7% |
| UREA | 2024-01-22 | [Red Sea Crisis Fragments Ammonia Market \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4571-red-sea-crisis-fragments-ammonia-market-cz-app.md) | +12.6% | +13.1% |
| UREA | 2024-01-29 | [Urea Prices Set to Pick Up as Potash, Ammonia Dip \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32050-urea-prices-set-to-pick-up-as-potash-ammonia-dip-cz-app.md) | -1.4% | +0.1% |
| UREA | 2024-10-14 | [Urea Prices Remain Firm as Brazil, Europe Return Imminent \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27788-urea-prices-remain-firm-as-brazil-europe-return-imminent-cz-app.md) | -0.4% | -6.2% |

## Sources

- czapp.com: https://www.czapp.com/analyst-insights/european-food-production-at-risk-as-more-ammonia-production-lost/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.