# El Niño prompts caution among soybean producers, Cepea says

> Uncertainty about El Niño’s effects and rainfall patterns led some Brazilian soybean farmers to reduce sales in October, helping limit the fall in prices, according to Cepea. Excess rain in the South raised questions about crop progress and possible shifts from soybeans to corn, while irregular rainfall and low soil moisture kept growers in the Center-West and Matopiba cautious; planting had reached 54.3% by October 30.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-11T00:18:19.348Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/92525-el-nino-prompts-caution-among-soybean-producers-cepea-says
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced farmer selling can tighten near-term soybean availability and support prices, while weather-related yield uncertainty adds risk to supply. A possible shift from soybean to corn area could also affect the balance between the two crops.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2017-05-08 | [Argentina flooding impacts soybean production - NASA Science](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70864-argentina-flooding-impacts-soybean-production-nasa-science.md) | -0.9% | -4.3% |
| SOY | 2025-11-27 | [La Niña slows soybean planting and narrows Brazil’s 2025/26 production outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13459-la-nina-slows-soybean-planting-and-narrows-brazil-s-2025-26-production-outlook.md) | -1.1% | -6.4% |
| SOY | 2026-08-28 | [Black Sea gridlock, a building El Niño and the US-China soybean gamble \| World Ports Organization](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14092-black-sea-gridlock-a-building-el-nino-and-the-us-china-soybean-gamble-world.md) | +4.0% | +5.0% |
| SOY | 2022-07-27 | [Soybeans, soybean products extend gains - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40517-soybeans-soybean-products-extend-gains-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +2.4% | +2.2% |
| SOY | 2022-03-23 | [Brazil Drought Impacts Soybean Production - Field Advisor](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13737-brazil-drought-impacts-soybean-production-field-advisor.md) | -3.2% | +3.0% |
| CORN | 2021-08-27 | [Potential Brazil corn and soybean production in 2021/22](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45432-potential-brazil-corn-and-soybean-production-in-2021-22.md) | -4.6% | -10.8% |
| CORN | 2025-11-27 | [La Niña slows soybean planting and narrows Brazil’s 2025/26 production outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13459-la-nina-slows-soybean-planting-and-narrows-brazil-s-2025-26-production-outlook.md) | +1.0% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2023-03-23 | [Bye, Bye La Nina \| Iowa Soybean Association](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13293-bye-bye-la-nina-iowa-soybean-association.md) | +1.6% | +0.2% |

## Sources

- agrolink.com.br: https://www.agrolink.com.br/noticias/el-nino-gera-cautela-entre-produtores-de-soja--aponta-cepea_520825.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.