# USDA Raises U.S. Soybean and Corn Production Forecasts, Pressuring Chicago Futures

> The article says USDA raised its U.S. soybean production estimate to 123.4 million tonnes, above market expectations, and increased soybean exports by less than traders anticipated. Corn futures fell after a smaller-than-expected U.S. production reduction and a cut to domestic consumption; USDA also raised Brazil’s corn production forecast to 141 million tonnes and lowered its export projection to 40 million. Wheat futures declined amid Black Sea export constraints and weaker U.S. wheat sales.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-10T18:15:28.171Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/92104-usda-raises-u-s-soybean-and-corn-production-forecasts-pressuring-chicago-futures
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Larger-than-expected soybean supply and restrained export growth, together with weaker corn consumption, put downward pressure on those futures. Higher Brazilian corn production adds supply, while lower U.S. wheat sales and the stated supply outlook weigh on wheat prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-08-10 | [Soybeans, Grains Plunge After USDA Raises Production Forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63478-soybeans-grains-plunge-after-usda-raises-production-forecasts.md) | -0.3% | -6.3% |
| SOY | 2023-04-11 | [USDA Forecasts Steady U.S. Corn and Soybean Supplies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36342-usda-forecasts-steady-u-s-corn-and-soybean-supplies.md) | +2.0% | -1.2% |
| SOY | 2017-08-10 | [USDA Forecasts Record-High Soybean Production in 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69299-usda-forecasts-record-high-soybean-production-in-2017.md) | -4.3% | +0.0% |
| SOY | 2025-09-12 | [USDA Ups Corn and Soybean Production Estimates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22795-usda-ups-corn-and-soybean-production-estimates.md) | +2.2% | +0.7% |
| SOY | 2017-01-12 | [Corn and Soybean Production Up in 2016, USDA Reports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72836-corn-and-soybean-production-up-in-2016-usda-reports.md) | +6.7% | +4.7% |
| CORN | 2018-08-10 | [Soybeans, Grains Plunge After USDA Raises Production Forecasts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63478-soybeans-grains-plunge-after-usda-raises-production-forecasts.md) | -7.5% | -9.1% |
| CORN | 2023-04-11 | [USDA Forecasts Steady U.S. Corn and Soybean Supplies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36342-usda-forecasts-steady-u-s-corn-and-soybean-supplies.md) | +0.4% | +0.2% |
| CORN | 2017-08-10 | [USDA Forecasts Record-High Soybean Production in 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69299-usda-forecasts-record-high-soybean-production-in-2017.md) | -4.5% | -6.5% |

## Sources

- insights.tridge.com: https://insights.tridge.com/speaker-product-news-reports/KJLyFXpzJzgKuB1Gqsm5QUKHGgR43AVdqLX4sfWcwCrREZcwsBCG2NK3

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.