# Super El Nino Peaking. Expecting Rapid Demise During Early 2027.

> A Climate Impact Company outlook says the 2026–27 Super El Niño may have peaked in November 2026 and could weaken rapidly in early 2027, potentially transitioning to La Niña by mid-2027. The assessment points to eastward-moving cooler subsurface Pacific waters, while warm subsurface water could still sustain El Niño through the boreal winter.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-10T15:28:40.543Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/92001-super-el-nino-peaking-expecting-rapid-demise-during-early-2027
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

The forecast signals a possible shift in weather risks for crop-growing regions as the ENSO phase changes, but it does not specify a definite production impact. Any price effects remain uncertain and depend on how the transition affects growing-season conditions.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-02-01 | [El Nino Expected to Influence US 2026 Growing Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20955-el-nino-expected-to-influence-us-2026-growing-season.md) | +0.2% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2024-12-12 | [Weak, short-term La Niña expected to develop during winter - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26866-weak-short-term-la-nina-expected-to-develop-during-winter-pro-farmer.md) | -0.0% | +5.6% |
| CORN | 2019-12-02 | [Hints of El Nino in Early Winter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55503-hints-of-el-nino-in-early-winter.md) | -0.2% | +1.7% |
| CORN | 2020-05-14 | [U.S. forecaster sees 65% chance for no El Nino, La Nina during summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53048-u-s-forecaster-sees-65-chance-for-no-el-nino-la-nina-during-summer.md) | -0.0% | +1.8% |
| CORN | 2025-12-05 | [Crop Monitor for Early Warning \| No. 111 - December 2025 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21411-crop-monitor-for-early-warning-no-111-december-2025-world-reliefweb.md) | -0.4% | -0.0% |
| SOY | 2026-02-01 | [El Nino Expected to Influence US 2026 Growing Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20955-el-nino-expected-to-influence-us-2026-growing-season.md) | +4.8% | +8.1% |
| SOY | 2024-12-12 | [Weak, short-term La Niña expected to develop during winter - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26866-weak-short-term-la-nina-expected-to-develop-during-winter-pro-farmer.md) | -4.4% | +1.8% |
| SOY | 2019-12-02 | [Hints of El Nino in Early Winter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55503-hints-of-el-nino-in-early-winter.md) | +1.5% | +7.2% |

## Sources

- climateimpactcompany.com: https://climateimpactcompany.com/november-2026-enso-outlook-super-el-nino-peaking-expecting-rapid-demise-during-early-2027-2-2/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.