# Diesel Prices Could Ease as Crude Oil Prices Drop

> The EIA projected that U.S. retail diesel prices will average $4.49 per gallon in 2027, down from its $5.19 forecast for 2026, as crude prices fall and fuel stocks recover. It cautioned that distillate inventories are expected to remain below their recent average and that disruptions to crude flows could make prices more volatile.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-10T15:11:47.583Z
- Category: macro · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/91925-diesel-prices-could-ease-as-crude-oil-prices-drop
- Commodities: [ULSD / Diesel](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DIESEL.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

Lower crude prices and recovering fuel stocks would ease diesel costs for feed transport and farm operations. Persistently low inventories and crude-flow disruptions could limit the decline or renew upward pressure.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bearish ▼
- DIESEL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DIESEL | 2020-04-22 | [Oil’s collapse and its effect on diesel prices - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53806-oil-s-collapse-and-its-effect-on-diesel-prices-freightwaves.md) | -15.4% | +28.7% |
| DIESEL | 2023-02-10 | [U.S. diesel prices drop as Europe's ban on Russian imports begins](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37497-u-s-diesel-prices-drop-as-europe-s-ban-on-russian-imports-begins.md) | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| DIESEL | 2020-09-10 | [Covid and trade war fears drop oil and fuel prices - Container News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10505-covid-and-trade-war-fears-drop-oil-and-fuel-prices-container-news.md) | +1.8% | +6.3% |
| DIESEL | 2024-11-19 | [What do Diesel and Gasoline Tell us About Oil Prices?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27582-what-do-diesel-and-gasoline-tell-us-about-oil-prices.md) | -0.7% | -1.3% |
| DIESEL | 2026-07-07 | [Oil prices settle at pre-Iran war levels as crude output grows](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18255-oil-prices-settle-at-pre-iran-war-levels-as-crude-output-grows.md) | +16.4% | +17.7% |
| WTI | 2025-04-07 | [Palm and Soy Oil Prices Drop as Oil Prices Decline](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9631-palm-and-soy-oil-prices-drop-as-oil-prices-decline.md) | -0.8% | -6.8% |
| WTI | 2020-04-22 | [Oil’s collapse and its effect on diesel prices - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53806-oil-s-collapse-and-its-effect-on-diesel-prices-freightwaves.md) | +33.7% | +249.4% |
| WTI | 2025-01-26 | [Oil Drops As Trump Urges OPEC To Cut Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26667-oil-drops-as-trump-urges-opec-to-cut-prices.md) | -2.8% | -5.2% |

## Sources

- aftermarketnews.com: https://www.aftermarketnews.com/diesel-prices-could-ease-as-crude-oil-prices-drop/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.