# EU cuts 2026/27 oilseed crop forecast as major crops revised lower

> The European Commission lowered its 2026/27 EU oilseed production forecast by about 230,000 tonnes from September to 31.11 million tonnes. It cut estimates for rapeseed, sunflower seed and soybeans, citing weaker rapeseed output in Poland and lower sunflower and soybean production in France.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-10T15:07:25.147Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/91887-eu-cuts-2026-27-oilseed-crop-forecast-as-major-crops-revised-lower
- Commodities: [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md), [Sunflower Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SUNMEAL.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

The downward revisions modestly tighten expected EU oilseed supplies, potentially lending support to oilseed prices and meal availability. However, forecast production remains above the five-year average.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CANMEAL: bullish ▲
- SUNMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-08-13 | [Global oilseeds production forecast lowered on multiple crop declines \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23433-global-oilseeds-production-forecast-lowered-on-multiple-crop-declines-feed-and.md) | +0.1% | -0.6% |
| SOY | 2025-05-15 | [USDA forecasts lower US soybean stocks, record crush for 2025/26 \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24760-usda-forecasts-lower-us-soybean-stocks-record-crush-for-2025-26-feed-and-grain.md) | -0.4% | -2.3% |
| SOY | 2023-03-20 | [USDA lowers global oilseed production forecast due to plunging…](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36974-usda-lowers-global-oilseed-production-forecast-due-to-plunging.md) | -3.3% | +2.7% |
| SOY | 2026-05-14 | [Markets React as USDA Releases First Look at 2026/27 Estimates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19193-markets-react-as-usda-releases-first-look-at-2026-27-estimates.md) | -1.3% | -8.2% |
| SOY | 2023-05-31 | [USDA lowers ag trade forecast for FY 2023 \| Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5571-usda-lowers-ag-trade-forecast-for-fy-2023-agri-pulse-communications-inc.md) | +4.4% | +11.9% |

## Sources

- fastmarkets.com: https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/eu-cuts-2026-27-oilseed-crop-forecast-as-major-crops-revised-lower/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.