# Australia May Harvest a Second Consecutive Record Barley Crop in 2026/27

> USDA FAS forecasts Australian barley production to rise 4.4% to a record 17.7 million tonnes in 2026/27, with exports projected at a record 13 million tonnes. Increased planting, favorable weather in southern regions, higher input costs for competing crops, and concern about El Niño-related rainfall deficits have influenced acreage decisions; wheat production is forecast to fall 11% to 32 million tonnes.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-10T09:16:37.712Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/91550-australia-may-harvest-a-second-consecutive-record-barley-crop-in-2026-27
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Record barley output and exports could weigh on Australian barley prices during harvest, while strong export demand—especially from China—may limit the decline. Lower wheat production than last year could lend some support to wheat, although projected exports remain historically high.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-06-10 | [Australian winter crop production to fall from consecutive record highs - International Milling Directory](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35433-australian-winter-crop-production-to-fall-from-consecutive-record-highs.md) | +1.1% | +0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-05 | [PR 2025/26 Harvest: Drought reduces the potential of second-crop corn - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13435-pr-2025-26-harvest-drought-reduces-the-potential-of-second-crop-corn-cultivar.md) | +1.8% | -0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2018-11-01 | [Australia set for smallest winter crop in a decade: Rural Bank - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61992-australia-set-for-smallest-winter-crop-in-a-decade-rural-bank-grain-central.md) | -3.7% | -5.1% |
| WHEAT | 2021-10-08 | [PROXIMITY MALT END-OF-SEASON 2021 CROP and BARLEY MARKET REPORT - Proximity Malt](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44624-proximity-malt-end-of-season-2021-crop-and-barley-market-report-proximity-malt.md) | +1.6% | +13.2% |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-08 | [Winter crop plantings for 2023-24 at all-time record but harvest levels a perceived risk - Australasian Farmers' & Dealers' Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35010-winter-crop-plantings-for-2023-24-at-all-time-record-but-harvest-levels-a.md) | -1.9% | +0.3% |

## Sources

- graintrade.com.ua: https://graintrade.com.ua/en/novosti/avstraliya-u-202627-mr-mozhe-zibrati-drugij-pospil-rekordnij-vrozhaj-yachmenyu.html
- graintrade.com.ua: https://graintrade.com.ua/ru/novosti/avstraliya-u-202627-mr-mozhe-zibrati-drugij-pospil-rekordnij-vrozhaj-yachmenyu.html

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.