# Heat and irregular rainfall pressure the start of the soybean season in Matopiba during a strong El Niño year

> Above-average temperatures and uneven rainfall are keeping soil moisture under pressure in Brazil’s Matopiba region as the 2026/27 soybean season begins. Inmet reported temperature anomalies of up to 3.6°C in Bahia and 3.2°C in Tocantins, while September and October rainfall has not sufficiently restored soil moisture.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-10T09:13:39.968Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/91537-heat-and-irregular-rainfall-pressure-the-start-of-the-soybean-season-in
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Limited soil moisture and continued heat can delay planting and hinder crop establishment, tightening Brazil’s soybean supply outlook and supporting prices if conditions persist.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2026-02-11 | [Lack of rain pressures corn and soybeans in the South](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13451-lack-of-rain-pressures-corn-and-soybeans-in-the-south.md) | +1.0% | +6.9% |
| SOY | 2021-01-01 | [The Impact of Preseason La Niña Episodes on Corn and Soybean Yields in Brazil and Argentina](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49571-the-impact-of-preseason-la-nina-episodes-on-corn-and-soybean-yields-in-brazil.md) | +4.6% | +3.8% |
| SOY | 2017-10-23 | [The yield of soybean and sunflower in Ukraine is lower than last year](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68579-the-yield-of-soybean-and-sunflower-in-ukraine-is-lower-than-last-year.md) | -0.4% | +1.2% |
| SOY | 2026-02-01 | [Hot dry spells and extreme rain increased corn and soybean prices in the United States Midwest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13022-hot-dry-spells-and-extreme-rain-increased-corn-and-soybean-prices-in-the-united.md) | +4.8% | +8.1% |
| SOY | 2021-06-21 | [Hot, dry weather stresses crops in heart of the Corn Belt and Northern Plains - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46417-hot-dry-weather-stresses-crops-in-heart-of-the-corn-belt-and-northern-plains.md) | -4.7% | +2.3% |

## Sources

- brasil61.com: https://brasil61.com/n/calor-e-chuva-irregular-pressionam-inicio-da-safra-de-soja-no-matopiba-em-ano-de-el-nino-forte-bras2617445

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.