# Could 2027 bring a bounce-back for U.S. wheat growers?

> Improved soil moisture after fall rainfall and receding drought across parts of the Southern Plains are expected to encourage a recovery in U.S. winter wheat plantings from a 117-year low. Higher insurance prices and the incentive to reduce fallow acreage are also supporting acreage prospects, although sagging exports and uncertain prices remain concerns.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-10T09:05:50.130Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/91464-could-2027-bring-a-bounce-back-for-u-s-wheat-growers
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

More favorable moisture and increased plantings could lift future U.S. wheat supply, weighing on prices if realized. Weak exports add to the downside risk, despite the possibility that El Niño brings further drought relief.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- KWHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-03-28 | [Changing Weather Patterns Could Favor U.S. Wheat Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36936-changing-weather-patterns-could-favor-u-s-wheat-production.md) | -10.7% | -13.9% |
| WHEAT | 2019-04-23 | [Global Wheat Market Outlook For Australian Growers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59641-global-wheat-market-outlook-for-australian-growers.md) | -4.2% | -0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2017-07-13 | [Big drop for corn, soybeans, and wheat - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6475-big-drop-for-corn-soybeans-and-wheat-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -1.8% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2020-04-20 | [Wheat, barley forecasts mostly higher as seeding gathers pace - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53608-wheat-barley-forecasts-mostly-higher-as-seeding-gathers-pace-grain-central.md) | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2017-08-25 | [Harvest 2017: Wheat 65% cut, spring barley 40% combined - Farmers Weekly](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69506-harvest-2017-wheat-65-cut-spring-barley-40-combined-farmers-weekly.md) | +3.2% | +7.2% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-03-28 | [Changing Weather Patterns Could Favor U.S. Wheat Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36936-changing-weather-patterns-could-favor-u-s-wheat-production.md) | +1.7% | -4.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2019-04-23 | [Global Wheat Market Outlook For Australian Growers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59641-global-wheat-market-outlook-for-australian-growers.md) | -5.3% | +5.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2019-09-24 | [U.S. grains: MGEX spring wheat rallies to highest since mid-June - Country Guide](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57104-u-s-grains-mgex-spring-wheat-rallies-to-highest-since-mid-june-country-guide.md) | +2.1% | +4.7% |

## Sources

- farmprogress.com: https://www.farmprogress.com/wheat/could-2027-bring-a-bounce-back-for-u-s-wheat-growers-

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.