# USDA lowers forecast for Brazil's sugar crop

> USDA cut its forecast for Brazil's 2026/27 sugar production by 4%, from 42.2 million to 40.5 million tonnes, citing above-average Center-South rainfall that slowed milling and lowered sugar content. It also reduced the sugarcane production estimate to 681 million tonnes and lowered the sugar export forecast by 4.8% to 31.7 million tonnes.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-10T06:18:12.086Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/91144-usda-lowers-forecast-for-brazil-s-sugar-crop
- Commodities: [Ethanol](https://feedsoft.ai/c/ETHANOL.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Brazilian sugar production and exports tighten global export availability, which can support sugar prices. The unchanged cane allocation between sugar and ethanol leaves both markets exposed to the reduced cane crop.

## Read by commodity

- ETHANOL: bullish ▲

## Sources

- revistacultivar.com: https://revistacultivar.com/news/USDA-lowers-forecast-for-Brazil%27s-sugar-crop.

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.