# As COP31 opens, CGIAR says the worst of El Niño for food is still ahead

> At COP31, CGIAR urged countries to fund preparations for the continuing El Niño, which forecasters expect to remain strong to very strong into early 2027. The article cites estimates of increased acute food insecurity and warns that prolonged fertilizer and energy market disruption could reduce fertilizer use and crop yields; modelling for Malawi also projects higher poverty and undernutrition.

- Date: 2026-11-09 · published 2026-11-10T06:16:48.612Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/91133-as-cop31-opens-cgiar-says-the-worst-of-el-nino-for-food-is-still-ahead
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

El Niño-related crop stress could tighten food supplies and add upward pressure to food prices, while sustained fertilizer cost increases could further constrain yields. Early preparedness spending may reduce those losses.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-05-05 | [Mixed results ahead for plantation sector in 1Q26 \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15468-mixed-results-ahead-for-plantation-sector-in-1q26-the-star.md) | -4.2% | -27.8% |
| UREA | 2026-04-29 | [Indonesia 2026 crude palm oil output to fall due to El Nino, high fertiliser prices, association says \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19818-indonesia-2026-crude-palm-oil-output-to-fall-due-to-el-nino-high-fertiliser.md) | -9.4% | -17.3% |
| UREA | 2025-02-23 | [US natural gas prices surge as La Niña replaces El Niño – Chemicals and the Economy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26221-us-natural-gas-prices-surge-as-la-nina-replaces-el-nino-chemicals-and-the.md) | -0.3% | -4.4% |
| UREA | 2026-01-21 | [Natural Gas Prices Soar as Winter Storm Is Set to Drop Snow, Ice Across Massive Swath of the US - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4409-natural-gas-prices-soar-as-winter-storm-is-set-to-drop-snow-ice-across-massive.md) | +1.6% | +13.7% |
| UREA | 2026-01-20 | [Natural gas prices soar as cold snap blasts across the U.S.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6506-natural-gas-prices-soar-as-cold-snap-blasts-across-the-u-s.md) | +1.4% | +13.7% |

## Sources

- agronewstoday.com: https://agronewstoday.com/article/cop31-opens-el-nino-time-to-prepare-food-systems

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.