# 2026-2027 El Niño food security impacts

> FEWS NET says the 2026/27 El Niño has rapidly strengthened to very strong levels and is expected to cause significant rainfall anomalies across monitored regions. Below-average rainfall has already affected parts of East Africa, the West African Sahel, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Pakistan; Southern Africa is forecast to have drier-than-average rains, while the Horn of Africa faces elevated flood risk.

- Date: 2026-11-10 · published 2026-11-10T06:16:48.517Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/91132-2026-2027-el-nino-food-security-impacts
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Rainfall disruptions can reduce crop production and food availability, with acute food insecurity often worsening during the subsequent lean season. The report points to risks to global food availability and prices, but gives no specific commodity price forecast.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-10-04 | [2026-2027 El Niño food security impacts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17050-2026-2027-el-nino-food-security-impacts.md) | -3.5% | -6.9% |
| CORN | 2023-05-02 | [Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35871-anticipating-the-impact-of-el-nino-on-food-security.md) | +2.7% | -5.8% |
| CORN | 2024-06-17 | [As El Niño Wanes, Food Security Pain Remains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29663-as-el-nino-wanes-food-security-pain-remains.md) | -4.3% | -9.0% |
| CORN | 2024-04-24 | [NASA SVS \| El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30653-nasa-svs-el-nino-forecast-to-contribute-to-food-insecurity.md) | -0.5% | +3.3% |
| CORN | 2023-10-30 | [El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33546-el-nino-forecast-to-contribute-to-food-insecurity-nasa-science.md) | -3.3% | -6.3% |
| SOY | 2023-05-02 | [Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35871-anticipating-the-impact-of-el-nino-on-food-security.md) | +1.0% | -10.9% |
| SOY | 2023-10-30 | [El Niño Forecast to Contribute to Food Insecurity - NASA Science](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33546-el-nino-forecast-to-contribute-to-food-insecurity-nasa-science.md) | +2.3% | +2.5% |
| SOY | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | -2.0% | -2.1% |

## Sources

- farmingportal.co.za: https://www.farmingportal.co.za/index.php/agri-index/88-global-weather/13082-2026-2027-el-nino-food-security-impacts

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.